Zamalek vs El Gouna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: El Sholady M. (Egy)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus, On Time Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.33
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
87% (457/525)75% (215/288)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.87
Total shots
189
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
219
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
87% (457/525)75% (215/288)
Long passes
70% (58/83)46% (29/63)
Passes in final third
79% (108/136)53% (45/85)
Crosses
29% (7/24)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.16
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1110
Tackles
63% (5/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4443
Clearances
930
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.871.33
Goals prevented
-0.130.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Dabbagh O. , Maher N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Alaa M. 🟨,
  • 65', El Zahdi A. , Emad M. ,
  • 68', Maali A. , Banza C. ,
  • 78', Dabbagh O. , Gaber O. ,
  • 78', Moussaddaq S. , Nasser A. ,
  • 79', El Nahas M. , Mahmoud M. ,
  • 79', El Sayed B. , Mohsen M. ,
  • 79', Randrianantenaina A. , Karim A. ,
  • 83', Dunga N. , Hamdi A. ,
  • 83', Kaied A. , Esho A. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Emad M. , Karim A. (A),
  • 90+3', Ibrahim H. , Salah R. ,
  • 90+6', El Said A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Zamalek
62.1%
Draw
25%
El Gouna
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 24.3% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 23.1% 10.8%

Zamalek - El Gouna Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.44)
3.74
(3.81)
7.22
(8.1)
7%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Zamalek - El Gouna?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Zamalek: 62.2%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - El Gouna (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zamalek will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 4 - 80%). El Gouna (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 3.
    • Zamalek is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, El Gouna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Zamalek is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Zamalek will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:13. (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zamalek won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zamalek - El Gouna were as follows:
    19.03.2025 Zamalek - El Gouna 1:1
    27.01.2025 Zamalek - El Gouna 4:1
    02.08.2024 Zamalek - El Gouna 1:0
    12.03.2024 El Gouna - Zamalek 3:2
    Latest results of Zamalek
    18.09.2025 Ismaily - Zamalek 0:2
    13.09.2025 Zamalek - Al Masry 3:0
    31.08.2025 Wadi Degla - Zamalek 2:1
    26.08.2025 Zamalek - Pharco 1:0
    21.08.2025 Modern Sport - Zamalek 1:2
    Latest results of El Gouna
    17.09.2025 El Gouna - Petrojet 1:1
    13.09.2025 Haras El-Hodood - El Gouna 2:1
    30.08.2025 El Gouna - ZED 1:1
    24.08.2025 ENPPI - El Gouna 0:0
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ceramica Cleopatra16112325:111435
    2Pyramids1594225:121331
    3Al Ahly1586126:151130
    4Zamalek1484225:111428
    5Smouha1567215:9625
    6Al Masry1466222:14824
    7ZED1666417:13424
    8Wadi Degla1665519:17223
    9National Bank Egypt1549214:8621
    10Modern Sport1556416:16021
    11Enppi1548314:12220
    12El Gouna1548312:12020
    13Petrojet1648417:19-220
    14Ghazl El Mahallah16211311:10117
    15Arab Contractors1737710:16-616
    16Haras El Hodood1635813:23-1014
    17Al Ittihad16421012:22-1014
    18Pharco162777:18-1113
    19El Gaish162687:20-1312
    20Kahrabaa Ismailia16321116:32-1611
    21El Ismaily1631128:21-1310

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )