Zamalek vs El Gouna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League Zamalek - El Gouna
Result
1:1
23/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: El Sholady M. (Egy)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus, On Time Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.33
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
87% (457/525)75% (215/288)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.87
Total shots
189
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
219
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
87% (457/525)75% (215/288)
Long passes
70% (58/83)46% (29/63)
Passes in final third
79% (108/136)53% (45/85)
Crosses
29% (7/24)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.16
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1110
Tackles
63% (5/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4443
Clearances
930
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.871.33
Goals prevented
-0.130.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Dabbagh O. , Maher N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Alaa M. 🟨,
  • 65', El Zahdi A. , Emad M. ,
  • 68', Maali A. , Banza C. ,
  • 78', Dabbagh O. , Gaber O. ,
  • 78', Moussaddaq S. , Nasser A. ,
  • 79', El Nahas M. , Mahmoud M. ,
  • 79', El Sayed B. , Mohsen M. ,
  • 79', Randrianantenaina A. , Karim A. ,
  • 83', Dunga N. , Hamdi A. ,
  • 83', Kaied A. , Esho A. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Emad M. , Karim A. (A),
  • 90+3', Ibrahim H. , Salah R. ,
  • 90+6', El Said A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Zamalek
62.1%
Draw
25%
El Gouna
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 24.3% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 23.1% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamalek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Zamalek - El Gouna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.44)
    3.74
    (3.81)
    7.22
    (8.1)
    7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Zamalek - El Gouna?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Zamalek: 62.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 3.
    • Zamalek is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, El Gouna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Zamalek is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Zamalek will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:13. (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zamalek won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zamalek - El Gouna were as follows:
    19.03.2025 Zamalek - El Gouna 1:1
    27.01.2025 Zamalek - El Gouna 4:1
    02.08.2024 Zamalek - El Gouna 1:0
    12.03.2024 El Gouna - Zamalek 3:2
    Latest results of Zamalek
    18.09.2025 Ismaily - Zamalek 0:2
    13.09.2025 Zamalek - Al Masry 3:0
    31.08.2025 Wadi Degla - Zamalek 2:1
    26.08.2025 Zamalek - Pharco 1:0
    21.08.2025 Modern Sport - Zamalek 1:2
    Latest results of El Gouna
    17.09.2025 El Gouna - Petrojet 1:1
    13.09.2025 Haras El-Hodood - El Gouna 2:1
    30.08.2025 El Gouna - ZED 1:1
    24.08.2025 ENPPI - El Gouna 0:0
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Masry1053218:11718
    2Zamalek1053214:7718
    3Al Ahly953117:11618
    4Ceramica Cleopatra952210:4617
    5Enppi104519:5417
    6Wadi Degla1044211:7416
    7Pyramids742111:4714
    8Smouha93518:5314
    9Petrojet93518:8014
    10El Gouna92617:6112
    11ZED103347:7012
    12Modern Sport933311:12-112
    13National Bank Egypt92527:5211
    14Ghazl El Mahallah101816:4211
    15Haras El Hodood93247:10-311
    16El Gaish102353:11-89
    17Al Ittihad92255:11-68
    18Kahrabaa Ismailia92259:18-98
    19Pharco90633:8-56
    20Arab Contractors100553:9-65
    21El Ismaily101182:13-114

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )