Result
1:1
23/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: El Sholady M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 0.33 |
Ball Possession |
---|
66% | 34% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Passes |
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87% (457/525) | 75% (215/288) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 0.33 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.33 | 0.87 |
Total shots |
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18 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 11 |
Passes |
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87% (457/525) | 75% (215/288) |
Long passes |
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70% (58/83) | 46% (29/63) |
Passes in final third |
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79% (108/136) | 53% (45/85) |
Crosses |
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29% (7/24) | 25% (1/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.81 | 0.16 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 10 |
Tackles |
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63% (5/8) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 43 |
Clearances |
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9 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.87 | 1.33 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.13 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Dabbagh O. ⚽, Maher N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Alaa M. 🟨,
- 65', El Zahdi A. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
- 68', Maali A. ↓, Banza C. ↑,
- 78', Dabbagh O. ↓, Gaber O. ↑,
- 78', Moussaddaq S. ↓, Nasser A. ↑,
- 79', El Nahas M. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
- 79', El Sayed B. ↓, Mohsen M. ↑,
- 79', Randrianantenaina A. ↓, Karim A. ↑,
- 83', Dunga N. ↓, Hamdi A. ↑,
- 83', Kaied A. ↓, Esho A. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Emad M. ⚽, Karim A. (A),
- 90+3', Ibrahim H. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
- 90+6', El Said A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zamalek 62.1% | Draw 25% | El Gouna 12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamalek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Zamalek - El Gouna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↑ (1.44) |
3.74 ↓ (3.81) |
7.22 ↓ (8.1) |
7% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Zamalek - El Gouna?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamalek: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 3.
- Zamalek is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, El Gouna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Zamalek is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Zamalek will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:13. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zamalek won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zamalek won against El Gouna?
Zamalek has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Zamalek?
El Gouna has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamalek - El Gouna were as follows:
19.03.2025
Zamalek
-
El Gouna
1:1
27.01.2025
Zamalek
-
El Gouna
4:1
02.08.2024
Zamalek
-
El Gouna
1:0
12.03.2024
El Gouna
-
Zamalek
3:2
Latest results of Zamalek
Latest results of El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Masry | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
2 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Al Ahly | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Enppi | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Wadi Degla | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
8 | Smouha | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Petrojet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
10 | El Gouna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
11 | ZED | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Modern Sport | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
13 | National Bank Egypt | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
15 | Haras El Hodood | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
16 | El Gaish | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Al Ittihad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Pharco | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
20 | Arab Contractors | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
21 | El Ismaily | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2:13 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )