El Linqueño vs Independiente Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
24/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
85
Corner Kicks
81
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
118
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
81
Goalkeeper Saves
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Ratalin G. , Belloni G. ,
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 64', Aita B. , Mc Cormick A. ,
  • 64', Serrano G. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Pavon M. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Fernandez V. ,
  • 71', Benitez E. , Barbieri M. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Borda F. ,

Chances of winning


El Linqueño
37.8%
Draw
33.8%
Independiente Chivilcoy
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 30.4% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 29.2% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Linqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Linqueño's performance.
  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Linqueño that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (3.31)
    2.7
    (3)
    3.22
    (2.17)
    9.6%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Linqueño (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Linqueño won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño 2:2
    18.08.2024 El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy 0:0
    25.05.2024 Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño 0:1
    31.03.2024 El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy 0:0
    08.10.2023 Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño 3:2
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano11003:033
    2Douglas Haig11002:113
    3Defensores Belgrano VR11002:113
    4Independiente Chivilcoy11002:113
    5El Linqueno11001:013
    6Gimnasia E.R10011:2-10
    7Chivilcoy10011:2-10
    8Atletico Escobar10011:2-10
    9Sportivo Las Parejas10010:1-10
    109 de Julio Rafaela10010:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Unidos11003:123
    2Juventud Antoniana11003:123
    3San Martin Formosa11002:113
    4Tucuman Central11001:013
    5Sol de America00000:000
    6Defensores de Vilelas10011:2-10
    7Bartolome Mitre10010:1-10
    8Sarmiento Resistencia10011:3-20
    9Sarmiento de La Banda10011:3-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava11003:033
    2Biblioteca Atenas11003:123
    3San Martin Mendoza10100:001
    4Juventud U.U10100:001
    5Huracan Las Heras10100:001
    6Argentino MM10100:001
    7Deportivo Rincon00000:000
    8Cipolletti10011:3-20
    9Fundacion Amigos10010:3-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca11002:023
    2Kimberley11001:013
    3Guillermo Brown10102:201
    4Santamarina10102:201
    5Germinal10101:101
    6Sol de Mayo10101:101
    7Circulo Deportivo00000:000
    8Villa Mitre10010:1-10
    9Alvarado10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )