El Linqueño vs Independiente Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
24/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
85
Corner Kicks
81
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
118
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
81
Goalkeeper Saves
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Ratalin G. , Belloni G. ,
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 64', Aita B. , Mc Cormick A. ,
  • 64', Serrano G. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Pavon M. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Fernandez V. ,
  • 71', Benitez E. , Barbieri M. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Borda F. ,

Chances of winning


El Linqueño
37.8%
Draw
33.8%
Independiente Chivilcoy
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 30.4% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 29.2% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Linqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Linqueño's performance.
  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Linqueño that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (3.31)
    2.7
    (3)
    3.22
    (2.17)
    9.6%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Linqueño (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Linqueño won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño 2:2
    18.08.2024 El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy 0:0
    25.05.2024 Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño 0:1
    31.03.2024 El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy 0:0
    08.10.2023 Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño 3:2
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR632111:7411
    3Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    49 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    5Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    6Chivilcoy63125:5010
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    9Atletico Escobar61146:12-64
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas63127:7010
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    5Costa Brava71426:517
    6Argentino MM51312:3-16
    7Deportivo Rincon51226:7-15
    8Fundacion Amigos61238:10-25
    9San Martin Mendoza51221:4-35


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca55007:0715
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Alvarado62314:319
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Germinal51313:306
    7Villa Mitre51223:305
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )