El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
44
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
44
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
12
Corner Kicks
42
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Serrano G. ,
  • 16', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 31', Borao L. 🟨,
  • 41', Aita B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 65', Camisassa B. 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


El Linqueño
32.9%
Draw
30%
Sportivo Belgrano
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 27.3% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 26.3% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Linqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (3.02)
    3.02
    (3.4)
    2.44
    (2.22)
    10.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sportivo Belgrano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sportivo Belgrano could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Linqueño won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño 3:1
    09.06.2024 Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño 1:0
    14.04.2024 El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano 1:0
    08.09.2023 Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño 4:0
    08.07.2023 El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano 1:1
    Latest results of Sportivo Belgrano
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0