Result
1:1
23/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (301/418) | 51% (122/240) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (301/418) | 51% (122/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (26/71) | 34% (31/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (72/122) | 42% (50/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 8% (2/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Adel M. ⚽, Mohamed H. (A),
- 31', El Shimi S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Refaat A. ↓, El Sayed B. ↑,
- 59', Ibrahim H. ↓, El Zahdi A. ↑,
- 64', El Wahsh O. ↓, Sobhi M. ↑,
- 64', Hawash A. ↓, Faisal H. ↑,
- 72', Eid A. ↓, Mohsen M. ↑,
- 72', Ojo T. ↓, Imad M. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Imad M. ⚽, Khaled A. (A),
- 74', Mohamed H. ↓, Hesham N. ↑,
- 74', Ochaya J. ↓, Ouled Behi A. ↑,
- 82', El Nahas M. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
- 84', Mohsen M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Gouna
32.6% | Draw
35.6% | El Mokawloon El Arab
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↓
(3.03) |
2.59 ↑
(2.53) |
2.89 ↑
(2.84) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Mokawloon: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - El Mokawloon (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 1.
- Recent performances by El Gouna have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Mokawloon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
El Gouna has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against El Gouna?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab were as follows:
18.08.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
El Gouna
0:1
03.04.2024
El Gouna
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:2
15.01.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
El Gouna
1:1
Latest results of El Gouna
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
