El Gouna vs El Mokawloon El Arab – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.290.96
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
31
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
64
Passes
72% (301/418)51% (122/240)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.290.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.540.75
Total shots
176
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
72
Shots inside the box
124
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
2112
Passes
72% (301/418)51% (122/240)
Long passes
37% (26/71)34% (31/91)
Passes in final third
59% (72/122)42% (50/118)
Crosses
35% (9/26)8% (2/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.54
Throw ins
1921
Fouls
1221
Tackles
56% (5/9)50% (8/16)
Duels won
7167
Clearances
3142
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
0.750.54
Goals prevented
-0.25-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Adel M. , Mohamed H. (A),
  • 31', El Shimi S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Refaat A. , El Sayed B. ,
  • 59', Ibrahim H. , El Zahdi A. ,
  • 64', El Wahsh O. , Sobhi M. ,
  • 64', Hawash A. , Faisal H. ,
  • 72', Eid A. , Mohsen M. ,
  • 72', Ojo T. , Imad M. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Imad M. , Khaled A. (A),
  • 74', Mohamed H. , Hesham N. ,
  • 74', Ochaya J. , Ouled Behi A. ,
  • 82', El Nahas M. , Salah R. ,
  • 84', Mohsen M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


El Gouna
32.6%
Draw
35.6%
El Mokawloon El Arab
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 36.7% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 37.4% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (3.03)
    2.59
    (2.53)
    2.89
    (2.84)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for El Mokawloon: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - El Mokawloon (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 1.
    • Recent performances by El Gouna have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • El Mokawloon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab were as follows:
    18.08.2024 El Mokawloon El Arab - El Gouna 0:1
    03.04.2024 El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab 1:2
    15.01.2024 El Mokawloon El Arab - El Gouna 1:1
    Latest results of El Gouna
    19.02.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - El Gouna 1:0
    06.02.2026 El Gouna - Modern Sport 1:1
    28.01.2026 Pyramids - El Gouna 1:1
    20.01.2026 El Gouna - Pyramids 0:3
    17.01.2026 Modern Sport - El Gouna 0:2
    Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    8Wadi Degla74309:1844
    9National Bank Egypt741212:9339
    10ZED73138:7139
    11El Gouna72413:2138
    12Petrojet72326:7-134
    13Modern Sport71514:4031
    14Ghazl El Mahallah72508:5330
    15El Gaish72234:5-130
    16Arab Contractors72417:5228
    17Al Ittihad71517:9-228
    18Kahrabaa Ismailia71427:10-323
    19Haras El Hodood70436:10-421
    20Pharco71244:8-420
    21El Ismaily71332:5-317

          Relegation ~ Division 2 A