Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Wafa M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (166/253) | 75% (263/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.19 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (166/253) | 75% (263/352) |
| Long passes |
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| 34% (22/64) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 55% (32/58) | 64% (74/116) |
| Crosses |
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| 43% (6/14) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 78% (7/9) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 46 |
| Clearances |
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| 37 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.05 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Mayhoub E. 🟨,
- 29', Walid B. ↓, Abdelsalam M. ↑,
- 45', Hesham N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Ojera J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mayhoub E. ↓, Saidi K. ↑,
- 56', Arfaoui R. 🟨,
- 59', Aboul Saoud M. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 0, Shousha A. (Pen),
- 66', Etman A. ↓, Alade S. ↑,
- 67', Ojera J. ↓, Okoronkwo B. ↑,
- 79', Hesham N. ↓, Ochaya J. ↑,
- 79', El Wahsh O. ↓, Afifi Y. ↑,
- 87', Abed A. ↓, Gamal M. ↑,
- 87', Wael L. ↓, Bassey C. ↑,
- 90', Arfaoui R. ↓, Abdelghani M. ↑,
- 90+1', Zakaria Y. ↓, Body A. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 1, Gamal M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Ghazl El Mahalla
36.1% | Draw
35.8% | El Mokawloon El Arab
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Ghazl El Mahalla - El Mokawloon El Arab Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.53) |
2.62 ↑
(2.55) |
3.35 ↓
(3.5) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mahalla - El Mokawloon El Arab?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 0.
- In recent matches, Ghazl El Mahalla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Mokawloon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ghazl El Mahalla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ghazl El Mahalla could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ghazl El Mahalla - El Mokawloon El Arab were as follows:
10.02.2023
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
0:3
20.10.2022
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
1:1
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Al Masry | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Pyramids | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Modern Sport | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Enppi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Smouha | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Al Ahly | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | ZED | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 | Haras El Hodood | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | El Gaish | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | National Bank Egypt | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 | El Gouna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 19 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 20 | El Ismaily | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | -7 | 4 |
| 21 | Pharco | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
