Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Wafa M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.47 | 2.10 |
Ball Possession |
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42% | 58% |
Total shots |
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11 | 20 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 6 |
Passes |
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66% (166/253) | 75% (263/352) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 2.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.19 | 1.05 |
Total shots |
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11 | 20 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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13 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 13 |
Passes |
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66% (166/253) | 75% (263/352) |
Long passes |
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34% (22/64) | 44% (28/64) |
Passes in final third |
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55% (32/58) | 64% (74/116) |
Crosses |
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43% (6/14) | 30% (7/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.40 | 0.77 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 18 |
Fouls |
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13 | 9 |
Tackles |
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78% (7/9) | 92% (12/13) |
Duels won |
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54 | 46 |
Clearances |
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37 | 9 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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1.05 | 1.19 |
Goals prevented |
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0.05 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Mayhoub E. 🟨,
- 29', Walid B. ↓, Abdelsalam M. ↑,
- 45', Hesham N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Ojera J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mayhoub E. ↓, Saidi K. ↑,
- 56', Arfaoui R. 🟨,
- 59', Aboul Saoud M. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 0, Shousha A. (Pen),
- 66', Etman A. ↓, Alade S. ↑,
- 67', Ojera J. ↓, Okoronkwo B. ↑,
- 79', Hesham N. ↓, Ochaya J. ↑,
- 79', El Wahsh O. ↓, Afifi Y. ↑,
- 87', Abed A. ↓, Gamal M. ↑,
- 87', Wael L. ↓, Bassey C. ↑,
- 90', Arfaoui R. ↓, Abdelghani M. ↑,
- 90+1', Zakaria Y. ↓, Body A. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 1, Gamal M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Ghazl El Mahalla 36.1% | Draw 35.8% | El Mokawloon El Arab 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Ghazl El Mahalla - El Mokawloon El Arab Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.61 ↑ (2.53) |
2.62 ↑ (2.55) |
3.35 ↓ (3.5) |
6.4% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mahalla - El Mokawloon El Arab?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 0.
- In recent matches, Ghazl El Mahalla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Mokawloon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ghazl El Mahalla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ghazl El Mahalla could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ghazl El Mahalla - El Mokawloon El Arab were as follows:
10.02.2023
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
0:3
20.10.2022
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
1:1
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Masry | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
2 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Al Ahly | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Enppi | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Wadi Degla | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
8 | Smouha | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Petrojet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
10 | El Gouna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
11 | ZED | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Modern Sport | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
13 | National Bank Egypt | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
15 | Haras El Hodood | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
16 | El Gaish | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Al Ittihad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Pharco | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
20 | Arab Contractors | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
21 | El Ismaily | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2:13 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )