Result
0:0
29/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (226/333) | 73% (278/381) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (226/333) | 73% (278/381) |
| Long passes |
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| 31% (24/77) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 43% (39/90) | 62% (68/109) |
| Crosses |
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| 14% (2/14) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
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| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
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| 83% (10/12) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Mwanga J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Abdelsalam M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hamdi A. ↓, Al Madadha G. ↑,
- 56', Arfaoui R. ↓, Walid B. ↑,
- 56', Williams S. ↓, Ineza A. ↑,
- 64', Ouro-Agoro I. ↓, Hatem F. ↑,
- 64', Mohareb I. ↓, El Khawaga M. ↑,
- 64', El Moghzi M. ↓, Bolbol M. ↑,
- 74', Atef M. ↓, Tarek A. ↑,
- 85', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Magdy A. ↑,
- 86', Mwanga J. ↓, Ashraf M. ↑,
- 90+2', El Khawaga M. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
- 90+5', Tarek K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ghazl El Mahalla
23.6% | Draw
35.7% | Tala`ea El-Gaish
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ghazl El Mahalla's form might have worsened.Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tala`ea El-Gaish's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ghazl El Mahalla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tala`ea El-Gaish, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.92 ↑
(2.77) |
2.6 ↑
(2.43) |
2.28 ↓
(3.29) |
7.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). El-Gaish will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 18 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1.
- Ghazl El Mahalla has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El-Gaish is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ghazl El Mahalla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ghazl El Mahalla has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against Tala`ea El-Gaish?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tala`ea El-Gaish won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
Tala`ea El-Gaish has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish were as follows:
30.12.2025
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
1:0
25.05.2025
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
1:1
07.11.2024
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
2:3
14.12.2022
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
3:2
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Latest results of Tala`ea El-Gaish
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | ZED | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 39 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 31 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 30 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 17 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
