América de Quito vs El Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Serie B América de Quito - El Nacional
11/10/2022 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


América de Quito
28.8%
Draw
32.2%
El Nacional
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 32.2% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 33.1% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América de Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América de Quito's form might have worsened.
  • El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Quito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • América de Quito - El Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.66)
    2.82
    (2.86)
    2.33
    (2.77)
    10.3%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América de Quito - El Nacional were as follows:
    01.09.2022 El Nacional - América de Quito 0:1
    Latest results of América de Quito
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Ecuadorian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leones del Norte ✔ 2097422:13934
    2Gualaceo ✔ 2097427:25234
    3Guayaquil City ✔ 2096530:161433
    4Nueve de Octubre ✔ 2096520:13733
    5San Antonio2094719:17231
    6Ind. Juniors2094722:21131
    7Cumbaya2075818:21-326
    8Atletico Vinotinto2074932:26625
    922 de Julio2067719:29-1025
    10Vargas Torres ✔ 2059626:22424
    11Imbabura ✔ 20361121:28-715
    12Chacaritas ✔ 20271117:42-2513

          Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
          Serie B (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Leones del Norte is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
    Gualaceo is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
    Guayaquil City is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
    Nueve de Octubre is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
    Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )
    Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
    Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )