Result
0:3
15/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (355/435) | 62% (135/217) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 3.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (355/435) | 62% (135/217) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 28% (18/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (90/136) | 49% (33/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.13 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', Burdisso M. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Reasco D. (Pen),
- 27', 0 - 2, Bedoya A. ⚽, Flor F. (A),
- 42', Cela A. 🟨,
- 43', Gallardo N. 🟨,
- 43', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 43', Vega E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cagua G. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
- 46', Gallardo N. ↓, Cuello B. ↑,
- 71', Flor F. 🟨,
- 72', Hernandez B. ↓, Borja J. ↑,
- 72', Guisamano J. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
- 74', Perez Tica J. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 74', Reyes M. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 84', Mejia Moreira J. D. ↓, Montano M. ↑,
- 84', Cabezas D. 🟨,
- 87', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟨,
- 90', Reasco D. ↓, De Jesus B. ↑,
- 90', Cela A. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 3, Branda V. ⚽, Borja J. (A),
Chances of winning
Delfín
29.7% | Draw
32.2% | El Nacional
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Delfín's form might have worsened.El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Nacional's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Delfín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Delfín - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.66 ↑
(1.99) |
4.01 ↑
(3.32) |
3.26 ↓
(3.76) |
-22.9%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Delfín - El Nacional?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Delfín (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Delfín might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:27. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:8. (average 2.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against El Nacional?
Delfín has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Delfín?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - El Nacional were as follows:
25.04.2025
El Nacional
-
Delfín
3:2
20.10.2024
Delfín
-
El Nacional
1:1
29.04.2024
El Nacional
-
Delfín
1:0
30.09.2023
El Nacional
-
Delfín
2:2
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Macara | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Manta | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
