Result
3:2
25/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (266/349) | 76% (219/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (266/349) | 76% (219/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (21/60) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (49/87) | 66% (49/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -2.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Cifuentes J. ⚽, Cela A. (A),
- 25', Mendoza E. (Pen),
- 30', 2 - 0, Pazmino D. ⚽, Reasco D. (A),
- 42', Pazmino D. 🟨,
- 45+4', Cabezas D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Castro L. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
- 46', Cagua G. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 46', Reyes M. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
- 46', Cela A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 0, Cabezas Briones R. A. ⚽, Pazmino D. (A),
- 53', 3 - 1, Gallardo N. (Pen),
- 69', Cifuentes J. 🟨,
- 70', Reasco D. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
- 72', Burdisso M. 🟨,
- 74', Gallardo N. 🟨,
- 75', Velez C. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 79', Zicarelli F. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 87', Medina O. ↓, Tenorio L. ↑,
- 88', Guisamano J. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Mendoza E. ⚽, Cuero Mercado J. W. (A),
Chances of winning
El Nacional
60.7% | Draw
24.3% | Delfín
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
El Nacional - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.63) |
3.83 ↑
(3.72) |
6.18 ↑
(5.15) |
7.8%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for El Nacional - Delfín?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Delfín will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Delfín (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 2.
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- El Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match El Nacional is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 25:40 (average 1.3:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Delfín?
El Nacional has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against El Nacional?
Delfín has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Delfín were as follows:
20.10.2024
Delfín
-
El Nacional
1:1
29.04.2024
El Nacional
-
Delfín
1:0
30.09.2023
El Nacional
-
Delfín
2:2
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
| 9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
