Result
1:0
27/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (560/634) | 72% (167/233) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (560/634) | 72% (167/233) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (25/39) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (214/260) | 33% (19/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Heras B. 🟨,
- 25', Morocho J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 34', Morales S. 🟨,
- 39', Arroyo L. 🟨,
- 45+6', Zuniga E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Morales S. ↓, Preciado E. ↑,
- 57', Zova A. 🟨,
- 61', Porozo S. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
- 63', Ratotti F. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
- 75', Piedra H. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 0, Burdisso M. (Own goal),
- 78', Zuniga E. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,
- 78', Ushina K. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
- 82', Arroyo L. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 82', Mena A. ↓, Japa E. ↑,
- 90+3', Cabeza E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
61.4% | Draw
24.7% | Delfín
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
SD Aucas - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.61) |
3.75 ↑
(3.54) |
6.55 ↑
(5.46) |
8.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Delfín?
Users Predictions:
SD Aucas will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 4.
- Aucas is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Delfín's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Aucas is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Aucas will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Delfín?
SD Aucas has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against SD Aucas?
Delfín has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Delfín were as follows:
13.12.2025
Delfín
-
SD Aucas
0:1
10.11.2025
SD Aucas
-
Delfín
8:0
26.07.2025
SD Aucas
-
Delfín
2:1
05.04.2025
Delfín
-
SD Aucas
1:1
24.11.2024
SD Aucas
-
Delfín
2:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Aucas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Macara | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Delfin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5:6 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Emelec | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Libertad | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Manta | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4:14 | -10 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
