Deportivo Cuenca vs El Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional
Result
4:1
15/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 16
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.370.93
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
82% (263/319)87% (343/394)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.370.93
xG on target (xGOT)
2.861.59
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
1919
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
129
Passes
82% (263/319)87% (343/394)
Long passes
45% (25/56)74% (42/57)
Passes in final third
71% (74/104)63% (57/90)
Crosses
47% (7/15)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.70
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
912
Tackles
75% (9/12)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3830
Clearances
1716
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.592.86
Goals prevented
0.59-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Arroyo L. , Estupinan L. (A),
  • 6', Arroyo L. 🟨,
  • 14', 2 - 0, Estupinan L. , Moreno K. (A),
  • 15', Estupinan L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', 3 - 0, Luna Tobar C. (Pen),
  • 62', 3 - 1, Reasco D. , Bedoya A. (A),
  • 63', Chala J. , Borja J. ,
  • 63', Flor F. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 74', Hernandez B. , Borja F. ,
  • 75', Bedoya A. 🟨,
  • 85', Branda V. , Mena A. ,
  • 85', Cela A. , Maya J. ,
  • 87', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟨,
  • 88', Arroyo L. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 88', Chacon J. , Noboa D. ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Luna Tobar C. , Noboa D. (A),
  • 90+1', Estupinan L. , Solis Jaramillo M. A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Cuenca
47.3%
Draw
27.9%
El Nacional
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 28.7% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 29.8% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.89)
    3.27
    (3.21)
    3.71
    (4.08)
    8.7%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Deportivo Cuenca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional were as follows:
    16.02.2025 El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1
    31.08.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional 1:2
    24.03.2024 El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca 2:1
    25.11.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional 1:0
    10.06.2023 El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca 3:1
    Latest results of El Nacional
    01.06.2025 Mushuc Runa - El Nacional 2:3
    25.05.2025 El Nacional - Emelec 2:0
    12.05.2025 El Nacional - Vinotinto 2:1
    03.05.2025 LDU Quito - El Nacional 2:2
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle ✔ 301810255:233264
    2Barcelona SC ✔ 30166846:331354
    3LDU Quito ✔ 30149748:311751
    4U. Catolica301310758:391949
    5Orense30138934:32247
    6Libertad301210842:36646
    7Dep. Cuenca301371035:29646
    8Emelec ✔ 301191030:34-442
    9Aucas ✔ 301181138:41-341
    10Macara ✔ 309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional ✔ 30971432:46-1434
    12Delfin306131126:42-1631
    13Tecnico U30771626:46-2028
    14Vinotinto30761734:43-927
    15Mushuc Runa ✔ 30761738:50-1227
    16Manta ✔ 305111434:53-1926

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )