Result
5:0
21/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 6
- Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (258/333) | 84% (325/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (258/333) | 84% (325/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 50% (23/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (61/87) | 57% (44/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 3.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -1.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Morocho S. ⚽, Estupinan L. (A),
- 16', Cela A. 🟨,
- 21', Montano M. 🟨,
- 34', Carabali F. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Calderon R. ↑,
- 51', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 56', Rivera B. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Luna Tobar C. ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 0, Calderon R. ⚽, Nazareno B. (A),
- 67', Rivera B. 🟥,
- 75', 4 - 0, Luna Tobar C. ⚽,
- 79', Nazareno B. ↓, Anguisaca F. ↑,
- 80', Morocho S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 82', 5 - 0, Estupinan L. (Pen),
- 83', Moreno K. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
- 83', Velez C. ↓, Benalcazar L. ↑,
- 83', Chala J. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
- 87', Mena A. ↓, Borja J. ↑,
- 89', Estupinan L. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
58% | Draw
24.5% | El Nacional
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.56) |
3.83 ↑
(3.68) |
5.12 ↓
(5.38) |
7.3%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). El Nacional will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Nacional: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): El Nacional will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 3.
- Deportivo Cuenca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against El Nacional?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Deportivo Cuenca?
El Nacional has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional were as follows:
20.10.2025
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:2
15.06.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
El Nacional
4:1
16.02.2025
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
31.08.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
El Nacional
1:2
24.03.2024
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Macara | 37 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 49:34 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Aucas | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 57:49 | 8 | 55 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 45:40 | 5 | 52 |
| 10 | Emelec | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 49 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 41:61 | -20 | 42 |
| 12 | Delfin | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 30:60 | -30 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
