Result
4:1
15/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 16
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (263/319) | 87% (343/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (263/319) | 87% (343/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 74% (42/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (74/104) | 63% (57/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Arroyo L. ⚽, Estupinan L. (A),
- 6', Arroyo L. 🟨,
- 14', 2 - 0, Estupinan L. ⚽, Moreno K. (A),
- 15', Estupinan L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 3 - 0, Luna Tobar C. (Pen),
- 62', 3 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽, Bedoya A. (A),
- 63', Chala J. ↓, Borja J. ↑,
- 63', Flor F. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
- 74', Hernandez B. ↓, Borja F. ↑,
- 75', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 85', Branda V. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
- 85', Cela A. ↓, Maya J. ↑,
- 87', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟨,
- 88', Arroyo L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 88', Chacon J. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 1, Luna Tobar C. ⚽, Noboa D. (A),
- 90+1', Estupinan L. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
47.3% | Draw
27.9% | El Nacional
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.89) |
3.27 ↑
(3.21) |
3.71 ↓
(4.08) |
8.7%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Deportivo Cuenca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against El Nacional?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Deportivo Cuenca?
El Nacional has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional were as follows:
16.02.2025
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
31.08.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
El Nacional
1:2
24.03.2024
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:1
25.11.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
El Nacional
1:0
10.06.2023
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:1
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
