El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca
20/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 2
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Chances of winning


El Nacional
32%
Draw
29.9%
Deportivo Cuenca
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 27.7% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27.5% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Nacional's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.34)
    3.14
    (3.28)
    2.46
    (2.71)
    6.7%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 2.
    • El Nacional has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Deportivo Cuenca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Deportivo Cuenca has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional 4:1
    16.02.2025 El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1
    31.08.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional 1:2
    24.03.2024 El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca 2:1
    25.11.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional 1:0
    Latest results of El Nacional
    04.10.2025 Delfín - El Nacional 2:2
    27.09.2025 El Nacional - Mushuc Runa 0:5
    21.09.2025 Emelec - El Nacional 4:0
    18.09.2025 9 de Octubre - El Nacional 2:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec3212101033:35-246
    9Macara3211111039:32744
    10Aucas321191240:44-442
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin326141228:48-2032

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