El Nacional vs Independiente Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
20/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorZapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+

Match Stats

Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
16
Corner kicks
38
Total shots
616
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
510
Corner kicks
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


El Nacional
25%
Draw
22.4%
Independiente Juniors
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 23.6% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-35.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Nacional's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
  • El Nacional - Independiente Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (1.5)
    4.68
    (3.85)
    2
    (5.71)
    -4.7%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for El Nacional - Independiente Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Independiente Jr will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for El Nacional: 38.8%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Independiente Jr (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - El Nacional (4.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - El Nacional (3.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - El Nacional (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Independiente Jr (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): El Nacional will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. El Nacional (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Independiente Jr (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1.
    • In this match, El Nacional is the team to beat.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Independiente Juniors were as follows:
    01.10.2022 El Nacional - Independiente Juniors 1:1
    23.08.2022 Independiente Juniors - El Nacional 4:1
    Latest results of El Nacional
    19.12.2025 El Nacional - Delfín Postponed
    15.12.2025 Emelec - El Nacional 5:0
    07.12.2025 El Nacional - SD Aucas 3:1
    Latest results of Independiente Juniors
    Ecuadorian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico FC43106:3310
    2Cuenca Juniors43105:2310
    3Nueve de Octubre42114:227
    4Ind. Juniors42114:317
    5San Antonio31115:414
    6Vinotinto41124:314
    7Cumbaya40315:6-13
    8LDU Portoviejo31022:4-23
    9Dep. Santo Domingo41213:4-12
    10EL Nacional40133:6-31
    11Gualaceo41123:4-1-2
    1222 de Julio41123:6-3-2

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