Marbellí vs El Palo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Manzano R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 89', 1 - 1, Corral Tapia M. ,

Chances of winning


Marbellí
61.4%
Draw
25.2%
El Palo
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 25.2% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 24.6% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Marbellí aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Marbellí - El Palo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.51)
    3.61
    (3.6)
    6.81
    (6.07)
    9.7%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Marbellí is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • El Palo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Marbellí is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marbellí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Marbellí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marbellí - El Palo were as follows:
    21.09.2025 El Palo - Marbellí 2:2
    02.03.2025 Marbellí - El Palo 2:0
    20.10.2024 El Palo - Marbellí 1:0
    Latest results of Marbellí
    25.01.2026 UD San Pedro - Marbellí 1:0
    18.01.2026 Marbellí - Alhaurino 2:1
    11.01.2026 Marbellí - Torredonjimeno 3:0
    04.01.2026 Granada B - Marbellí 2:2
    21.12.2025 Marbellí - Huétor Vega 2:0
    Latest results of El Palo
    25.01.2026 El Palo - Mancha Real 2:0
    18.01.2026 Arenas Armilla - El Palo 3:0
    14.01.2026 El Palo - Torreperogil 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mijas Las Lagunas33198642:202265
    2Motril321710553:282561
    3Torre del Mar331413636:241255
    4Arenas Armilla33159937:271054
    5Torredonjimeno331311939:36350
    6Churriana de la Vega3313101030:40-1049
    7Marbelli331391134:28648
    8UD San Pedro3312101137:36146
    9Atletico de Porcuna331441540:37346
    10Granada CF B3310131045:43243
    11Huetor Vega331191339:42-342
    12CD Alhaurino331191340:40042
    13Melilla B329111229:29038
    14Martos339101432:44-1237
    15Mancha33991529:37-836
    16Huetor Tajar338101537:43-634
    17CD Torreperogil33861922:44-2230
    18El Palo33691828:51-2327

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