El Palo vs Mijas-Las Lagunas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 21

Chances of winning


El Palo
18.7%
Draw
27.4%
Mijas-Las Lagunas
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.6% 26.6% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 26.3% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Mijas-Las Lagunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • El Palo - Mijas-Las Lagunas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.87
    (4.2)
    3.32
    (3.4)
    1.69
    (1.75)
    10%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • In recent matches, El Palo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mijas-Las Lagunas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • El Palo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mijas-Las Lagunas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, El Palo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Palo - Mijas-Las Lagunas were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Mijas-Las Lagunas - El Palo 0:0
    30.03.2025 Mijas-Las Lagunas - El Palo 4:1
    17.11.2024 El Palo - Mijas-Las Lagunas 1:3
    Latest results of El Palo
    01.03.2026 Huétor Tájar - El Palo 2:1
    22.02.2026 El Palo - Melilla B 1:1
    15.02.2026 Martos - El Palo 3:0
    01.02.2026 Marbellí - El Palo 1:1
    25.01.2026 El Palo - Mancha Real 2:0
    Latest results of Mijas-Las Lagunas
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mijas Las Lagunas23155331:141750
    2Motril24138342:212147
    3Torre del Mar23118427:161141
    4Arenas Armilla23117526:141240
    5Torredonjimeno23109430:23739
    6Churriana de la Vega24116722:25-339
    7Marbelli23106727:20736
    8Granada CF B23710630:28231
    9Huetor Vega23941027:28-131
    10Atletico de Porcuna23921226:23329
    11Melilla B2277817:18-128
    12CD Alhaurino23761028:33-527
    13Martos2368923:28-526
    14UD San Pedro22741123:29-625
    15Mancha23661119:26-724
    16Huetor Tajar23581025:30-523
    17El Palo23371318:41-2316
    18CD Torreperogil23251611:35-2411

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          Relegation