El Palo vs Mijas-Las Lagunas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 21

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Camacho A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Wagner R. 🟥,

Chances of winning


El Palo
37%
Draw
38.2%
Mijas-Las Lagunas
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.6% 26.6% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 26.3% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Palo's performance.
  • Mijas-Las Lagunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mijas-Las Lagunas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Palo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (+27.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mijas-Las Lagunas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • El Palo - Mijas-Las Lagunas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (4.2)
    3.67
    (3.4)
    5.64
    (1.75)
    -28.6%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • In recent matches, El Palo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mijas-Las Lagunas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • El Palo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mijas-Las Lagunas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, El Palo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Palo - Mijas-Las Lagunas were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Mijas-Las Lagunas - El Palo 0:0
    30.03.2025 Mijas-Las Lagunas - El Palo 4:1
    17.11.2024 El Palo - Mijas-Las Lagunas 1:3
    Latest results of El Palo
    01.03.2026 Huétor Tájar - El Palo 2:1
    22.02.2026 El Palo - Melilla B 1:1
    15.02.2026 Martos - El Palo 3:0
    01.02.2026 Marbellí - El Palo 1:1
    25.01.2026 El Palo - Mancha Real 2:0
    Latest results of Mijas-Las Lagunas
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motril301610450:262458
    2Mijas Las Lagunas30168634:191556
    3Arenas Armilla30149734:231151
    4Torre del Mar301312533:211251
    5Churriana de la Vega30129928:35-745
    6Marbelli301281031:25644
    7Torredonjimeno301111836:34244
    8Huetor Vega301181137:36141
    9Atletico de Porcuna301241435:33240
    10Granada CF B30912940:38239
    11UD San Pedro301091131:33-239
    12CD Alhaurino30991235:38-336
    13Melilla B308111123:24-135
    14Huetor Tajar308101236:39-334
    15Martos308101230:37-734
    16Mancha30881424:32-832
    17CD Torreperogil30761720:40-2027
    18El Palo30581724:48-2423

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          Relegation