Result
1:2
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Alvarenga M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 84', 1 - 1, Pertossi D. ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Kuszko L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Puerto Nuevo
20.5% | Draw
25.9% | El Porvenir
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Porvenir's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-18.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Porvenir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.48 ↑
(2.68) |
3.56 ↑
(2.91) |
1.72 ↓
(2.54) |
8.8%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). El Porvenir will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Porvenir (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Primera C (Relegation) and 8).
- Puerto Nuevo is Primera C (Relegation)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 1.
- Recent form of Puerto Nuevo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Porvenir is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, El Porvenir is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Puerto Nuevo won against El Porvenir?
Puerto Nuevo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Porvenir won against Puerto Nuevo?
El Porvenir has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir were as follows:
31.05.2025
El Porvenir
-
Puerto Nuevo
3:1
21.09.2024
Puerto Nuevo
-
El Porvenir
1:1
21.04.2024
El Porvenir
-
Puerto Nuevo
2:1
Latest results of Puerto Nuevo
Latest results of El Porvenir
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Berazategui | General Lamadrid | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Argentino de Rosario | Leandro N. Alem | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Club Lujan | El Porvenir | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | Sportivo Barracas | 0 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Juventud Unida S. M. | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Estrella Del Sur | Deportivo Espanol | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Ituzaingo | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Berazategui | Leandro N. Alem | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Club Lujan | Sportivo Barracas | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Deportivo Espanol | 0 : 3, 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ituzaingo | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Leandro N. Alem | Sportivo Barracas | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Deportivo Espanol | Ituzaingo | 0 : 1 |
Final
