Puerto Nuevo vs El Porvenir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera C Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir
Result
1:2
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 26

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
423
Shots on target
213
Corner Kicks
010
Total shots
423
Shots on target
213
Shots off target
210
Corner Kicks
010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Alvarenga M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 84', 1 - 1, Pertossi D. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Kuszko L. ,

Chances of winning


Puerto Nuevo
20.5%
Draw
25.9%
El Porvenir
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 30.9% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 31.3% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.
  • El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Porvenir's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-18.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Porvenir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.48
    (2.68)
    3.56
    (2.91)
    1.72
    (2.54)
    8.8%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). El Porvenir will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Porvenir (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Primera C (Relegation) and 8).
    • Puerto Nuevo is Primera C (Relegation)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 1.
    • Recent form of Puerto Nuevo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • El Porvenir is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, El Porvenir is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir were as follows:
    31.05.2025 El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo 3:1
    21.09.2024 Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir 1:1
    21.04.2024 El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo 2:1
    Latest results of Puerto Nuevo
    Latest results of El Porvenir
    Draw
    Qualification - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ClaypoleCentral Ballester3 : 1
    2CanuelasLugano3 : 1, 2 : 0
    3CSR EspanolVictoriano A.1 : 0
    4Deportivo MunizYupanqui1 : 4, 1 : 2
    5MercedesDeportivo Paraguayo2 : 0, 0 : 0
    6AtlasDef. de Cambaceres1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Canuelas
    2TBD #3Yupanqui
    3MercedesTBD #6

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Bye

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2