Result
1:2
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
4 | 23 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 13 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 10 |
Total shots |
---|
4 | 23 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 13 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 10 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Alvarenga M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 84', 1 - 1, Pertossi D. ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Kuszko L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Puerto Nuevo 20.5% | Draw 25.9% | El Porvenir 53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Porvenir's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-18.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Porvenir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.48 ↑ (2.68) |
3.56 ↑ (2.91) |
1.72 ↓ (2.54) |
8.8% (11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). El Porvenir will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Porvenir (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Primera C (Relegation) and 8).
- Puerto Nuevo is Primera C (Relegation)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 1.
- Recent form of Puerto Nuevo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Porvenir is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, El Porvenir is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Puerto Nuevo won against El Porvenir?
Puerto Nuevo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Porvenir won against Puerto Nuevo?
El Porvenir has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir were as follows:
31.05.2025
El Porvenir
-
Puerto Nuevo
3:1
21.09.2024
Puerto Nuevo
-
El Porvenir
1:1
21.04.2024
El Porvenir
-
Puerto Nuevo
2:1
Latest results of Puerto Nuevo
Latest results of El Porvenir
Draw
Qualification - Play Offs1/8-finals1 | Claypole | Central Ballester | 3 : 1 |
2 | Canuelas | Lugano | 3 : 1, 2 : 0 |
3 | CSR Espanol | Victoriano A. | 1 : 0 |
4 | Deportivo Muniz | Yupanqui | 1 : 4, 1 : 2 |
5 | Mercedes | Deportivo Paraguayo | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Atlas | Def. de Cambaceres | 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal