Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
73
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
53
Red Cards
01
Total shots
73
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 70', Ferreyra B. 🟥,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Cardozo V. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Ortigosa F. ,

Chances of winning


Mercedes
53.6%
Draw
27.7%
Puerto Nuevo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 27.2% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 19.1% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Puerto Nuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercedes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puerto Nuevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.65)
    3.26
    (3.33)
    4.83
    (5.12)
    10.8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mercedes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Mercedes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Mercedes (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mercedes will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Primera C (Relegation)).
    • Mercedes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puerto Nuevo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mercedes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mercedes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 1:2
    20.10.2024 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 2:2
    21.05.2024 Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    Latest results of Mercedes
    17.08.2025 Lugano - Mercedes 0:1
    08.08.2025 Mercedes - Berazategui 1:3
    01.08.2025 Ituzaingó - Mercedes 3:2
    Latest results of Puerto Nuevo
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui1054116:7919
    2Sacachispas951315:11416
    3Victoriano A104339:5415
    4Estrella Del Sur1043311:11015
    5Mercedes103526:5114
    6Lugano1034311:10113
    7Def. de Cambaceres1034310:9113
    8CSR Espanol933311:7412
    9Puerto Nuevo1026210:11-112
    10Leandro N. Alem1033414:21-712
    11Deportivo Paraguayo103348:15-712
    12Justo Jose de Urquiza91625:8-39
    13Argentino de Rosario91539:10-18
    14Juventud Unida S. M101547:12-58


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1General Lamadrid104519:6317
    2Yupanqui1044211:8316
    3Leones de Rosario1044211:10116
    4Canuelas1036110:7315
    5Claypole104339:7215
    6El Porvenir1028011:9214
    7Central Ballester1041512:11113
    8Central Cordoba103436:6013
    9Sportivo Barracas93249:8111
    10Atlas102537:10-311
    11Deportivo Espanol916210:1009
    12Club Lujan91536:8-28
    13Fenix101454:11-77
    14Deportivo Muniz90635:9-46

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )