Alcalá vs Elche Ilicitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Alcalá
53.5%
Draw
26%
Elche Ilicitano
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 25.7% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 27.6% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Alcalá - Elche Ilicitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.67)
    3.47
    (3.5)
    4.47
    (4.44)
    10.1%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).
    • Alcalá has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ilicitano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Alcalá is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcalá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcalá - Elche Ilicitano were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Elche Ilicitano - Alcalá 3:3
    Latest results of Alcalá
    01.03.2026 Alcalá - Socuéllamos 3:1
    22.02.2026 Real Madrid C - Alcalá 2:2
    15.02.2026 Alcalá - Orihuela 0:1
    08.02.2026 Intercity - Alcalá 2:1
    Latest results of Elche Ilicitano
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Majadahonda25157337:152252
    2San Sebastian Reyes25155536:201650
    3Conquense251110430:22843
    4Getafe B24126639:261342
    5Tenerife B24124841:35640
    6Orihuela25108735:27838
    7CD Coria25108731:24738
    8CF Intercity2598836:34235
    9Las Palmas B2496932:30233
    10Navalcarnero2589830:32-233
    11RSD Alcala2588929:32-332
    12Ilicitano24710738:37131
    13Fuenlabrada25771127:30-328
    14Rayo Vallecano B25821526:43-1726
    15Colonia M25661328:47-1924
    16Quintanar del Rey25651425:33-823
    17Real Madrid C25561427:39-1221
    18Socuellamos25471421:42-2119

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