Result
2:0
19/03/2023 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 26
- Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Real Sociedad
66.9% | Draw
21.8% | Elche
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Real Sociedad - Elche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.34) |
4.4 ↓
(4.91) |
8.5 ↓
(9.73) |
4.6%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Elche?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 43 - 87.8%). Elche will win (votes: 4 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 78.6% – 97%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
- Real Sociedad has the most likely position - 4 (44.83%), project points - 64, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of qualify for ucl (55%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Elche has the most likely position - 20 (93.32%), project points - 25, currently - 13, a very good chance of relegated (99%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 62, importance 43, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 5.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Real Sociedad is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Real Sociedad: Elustondo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Fernandez C.
(Yellow Cards)
Merino M.
(Red Card)
Merquelanz M.
(Knee Injury)
Sadiq U.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Elche: Alamo J.
(Knee Injury)
Cheikh P.
(Red Card)
Magallan L.
(Thigh Injury)
Milla P.
(Yellow Cards)
Roco E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Elche: Boye L.
(Muscle Injury)
Chetauya J.
(Leg Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Elche?
Real Sociedad has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elche won against Real Sociedad?
Elche has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Elche were as follows:
27.08.2022
Elche
-
Real Sociedad
0:1
Latest results of Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Villarreal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Getafe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Betis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alaves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Atl. Madrid | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Levante | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | R. Oviedo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | Girona | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
