Almería vs Eldense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

UD Almería Stadium (Almería).

LaLiga2 - Round 38
Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.26	1.17
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
24	11
Shots on target
10	2
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
87% (404/466)	81% (317/390)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.26	1.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.38	0.40
Total shots
24	11
Shots on target
10	2
Shots off target
10	9
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
17	5
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
34	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
11	8
Passes
87% (404/466)	81% (317/390)
Long passes
51% (23/45)	43% (23/53)
Passes in final third
75% (78/104)	70% (73/104)
Crosses
50% (5/10)	5% (1/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	0.89
Throw-ins
17	23
Fouls
8	11
Tackles
56% (5/9)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
33	24
Clearances
35	15
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.40	3.38
Goals prevented
0.40	-1.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Masca ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
25', Lopy D. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Leo Baptistao ⚽, Pubill M. (A),
38', Barzic M. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Melamed N. ⚽, Leo Baptistao (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Pubill M. (A),
62', Parra R. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
62', Fede ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
66', Arribas S. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
66', Melero G. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
69', 4 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Leo Baptistao (A),
72', Leo Baptistao ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
72', Pubill M. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
79', Dumic D. ↓, Martos I. ↑,
79', Llabres J. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
84', Lopy D. ↓, Clua Oya S. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Gui Guedes ⚽, Suarez L. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/6fdrktra

Chances of winning

Almería
65.5%

Draw
20.8%

Eldense
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.2%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almería's performance.

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eldense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almería that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eldense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almería - Eldense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.73)	4.56 ↑ (3.35)	6.75 ↑ (4.56)	6.1% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Almería - Eldense?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Eldense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 29.6% – 90.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Almería is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Chumi (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Eldense: Gamez F. (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury) Ortuno S. (Yellow Cards) Pina (Injury)
There are questionable in Eldense: Chapela I. (Injury) Diawara A. (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Almería won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Eldense?

Almería has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Eldense won against Almería?

Eldense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Eldense were as follows:

08.09.2024 Eldense - Almería 1:0

Latest results of Almería

29.04.2025 Almería - Ferrol 2:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Castellón - Almería 4:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Almería - Cartagena 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Granada - Almería 3:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Almería - Levante 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Eldense

26.04.2025 Eldense - Córdoba 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Ferrol - Eldense 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Eldense - Sporting de Gijón 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Cartagena - Eldense 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Eldense - Burgos 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gijon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Castellon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cadiz CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Burgos CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dep. La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cultural Leonesa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Ceuta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Granada CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Mirandes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Andorra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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