Result
5:0
04/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 38
- Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (404/466) | 81% (317/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.38 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (404/466) | 81% (317/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (78/104) | 70% (73/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 5% (1/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 24 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 3.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', Masca ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
- 25', Lopy D. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Leo Baptistao ⚽, Pubill M. (A),
- 38', Barzic M. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 0, Melamed N. ⚽, Leo Baptistao (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 54', 3 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Pubill M. (A),
- 62', Parra R. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
- 62', Fede ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
- 66', Arribas S. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
- 66', Melero G. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
- 69', 4 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Leo Baptistao (A),
- 72', Leo Baptistao ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 72', Pubill M. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
- 79', Dumic D. ↓, Martos I. ↑,
- 79', Llabres J. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
- 84', Lopy D. ↓, Clua Oya S. ↑,
- 89', 5 - 0, Gui Guedes ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/6fdrktra
Chances of winning
Almería
65.5% | Draw
20.8% | Eldense
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almería's performance.Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eldense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almería that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eldense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Almería - Eldense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.73) |
4.56 ↑
(3.35) |
6.75 ↑
(4.56) |
6.1%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Almería - Eldense?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Eldense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Almería is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Almería: Baba I.
(Knee Injury)
Chumi
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Eldense: Gamez F.
(Injury)
Mendez D.
(Injury)
Ortuno S.
(Yellow Cards)
Pina
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Eldense: Chapela I.
(Injury)
Diawara A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Almería won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Eldense?
Almería has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Eldense won against Almería?
Eldense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Eldense were as follows:
08.09.2024
Eldense
-
Almería
1:0
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valladolid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Eibar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Cadiz CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Huesca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Racing Santander | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Dep. La Coruna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Gijon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Leganes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Albacete | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Almeria | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Las Palmas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Malaga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Andorra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Zaragoza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Mirandes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Castellon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Ceuta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 22 | Granada CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
