Eibar vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar).

LaLiga2 - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DSports 6

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.59	0.76
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
17	15
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
6	1
Passes
74% (304/409)	78% (351/451)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.59	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.28	1.27
Total shots
17	15
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
5	6
Shots inside the box
12	5
Shots outside the box
5	10
Hit the woodwork
2	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
34	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
19	14
Passes
74% (304/409)	78% (351/451)
Long passes
34% (22/65)	38% (28/74)
Passes in final third
59% (65/111)	57% (41/72)
Crosses
41% (9/22)	40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.48
Throw ins
17	18
Fouls
14	19
Tackles
63% (5/8)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
59	46
Clearances
11	25
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	5
xGOT faced
1.27	2.28
Goals prevented
1.27	1.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', de la Fuente M. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
66', Embarba A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
66', Dzodic S. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
69', Madariaga A. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
72', Gui Guedes 🟨,
77', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
77', Leo Baptistao ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
79', Guruzeta J. 🟨,
83', Arribas S. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
87', Guruzeta J. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Olaetxea L. ⚽, Nolaskoain P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Eibar
40.8%

Draw
29.1%

Almería
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

27.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Eibar - Almería Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.36)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	3.11 ↑ (2.93)	6.7% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Eibar - Almería?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Almería will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 3.
In recent matches, Eibar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Almería is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Eibar could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Eibar: Arbilla A. (Red Card) Ares A. (Injury)
There will not play in Almería: Bonini F. (Hamstring Injury) Chirino D. (Yellow Cards) Chumi (Knock) Fidel Cedillo Segura P. (Injury) Lopy D. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Eibar: Madariaga A. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Almería?

Eibar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Eibar?

Almería has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Almería were as follows:

01.11.2025 Almería - Eibar 3:1

07.03.2025 Eibar - Almería 1:0

22.09.2024 Almería - Eibar 2:2

Latest results of Eibar

19.01.2026 Granada - Eibar 0:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Burgos - Eibar 1:0 ✺

02.01.2026 Eibar - Mirandés 2:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Eibar - Valladolid 3:0 ✺

16.12.2025 Eibar - Elche 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Almería

17.01.2026 Almería - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Mirandés - Almería 2:2 ✺

03.01.2026 Almería - Granada 3:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Málaga - Almería 2:1 ✺

14.12.2025 Almería - Burgos 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	38	22	6	10	79:57	22	72
2	Dep. La Coruna	38	19	11	8	59:41	18	68
3	Almeria	37	20	7	10	74:56	18	67
4	Castellon	38	18	10	10	65:48	17	64
5	Malaga	38	18	9	11	66:49	17	63
6	Las Palmas	37	17	12	8	49:31	18	63
7	Burgos CF	37	17	10	10	44:33	11	61
8	Eibar	38	17	10	11	47:36	11	61
9	Cordoba	38	16	9	13	54:56	-2	57
10	Andorra	38	15	10	13	56:48	8	55
11	Ceuta	38	15	9	14	46:58	-12	54
12	Gijon	38	15	7	16	51:49	2	52
13	Albacete	38	13	11	14	49:51	-2	50
14	Granada CF	38	12	12	14	48:49	-1	48
15	Valladolid	37	11	10	16	40:48	-8	43
16	Leganes	38	10	12	16	41:46	-5	42
17	Real Sociedad B	37	11	8	18	46:54	-8	41
18	Cadiz CF	38	10	9	19	36:55	-19	39
19	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	40:60	-20	36
20	Huesca	38	9	9	20	39:59	-20	36
21	Zaragoza	38	8	11	19	33:51	-18	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	38	8	9	21	35:62	-27	33

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation