Result
4:3
23/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 5
- Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (375/426) | 89% (391/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (375/426) | 89% (391/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 58% (32/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (96/127) | 79% (119/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.73 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 36 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -2.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Sigurpalsson A. ⚽, Olsson S. (A),
- 19', Voelkerling J. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Walta L. (Pen),
- 36', Ure R. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Silverholt T. ⚽, Granli D. (A),
- 39', Hedlund S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 53', Carlsson T. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 2, Ure R. ⚽, Persson J. (A),
- 59', Voelkerling J. ↓, Sandberg S. ↑,
- 59', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Ljungberg A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 3, Walta L. ⚽, Sandberg S. (A),
- 66', Rapp G. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
- 66', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Richtner L. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 3, Wikstrom R. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
- 75', Vikman A. ↓, Lindberg M. ↑,
- 79', Silverholt T. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 3, Hedlund S. ⚽, Hult N. (A),
Chances of winning
Elfsborg
55.9% | Draw
24.1% | Sirius
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Elfsborg - Sirius Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.55) |
3.94 ↓
(4.33) |
4.75 ↓
(5.25) |
5.4%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Sirius?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Sirius will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 4.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Elfsborg is a favorite.
- There will not play in Sirius: Milleskog N.
(Inactive)
Nwadike P.
(Inactive)
Sjogrell H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Elfsborg: Thomasen J.
(Inactive)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 37:30 (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Elfsborg won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:7 (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Sirius?
Elfsborg has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Elfsborg?
Sirius has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - Sirius were as follows:
06.10.2024
Sirius
-
Elfsborg
4:1
29.04.2024
Elfsborg
-
Sirius
2:0
06.08.2023
Elfsborg
-
Sirius
1:0
08.05.2023
Sirius
-
Elfsborg
3:4
18.09.2022
Elfsborg
-
Sirius
3:0
Latest results of Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 38:15 | 23 | 46 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 36:16 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | AIK | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 33 |
| 6 | GAIS | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 13 | 32 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 23 |
| 10 | Hacken | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
| 13 | Sirius | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | Oster | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 15 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 15 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
