Sirius vs Elfsborg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
26/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 28
  • Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.55
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
87% (379/438)89% (452/510)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.660.18
Total shots
218
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
87% (379/438)89% (452/510)
Long passes
46% (25/54)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
81% (122/150)78% (93/120)
Crosses
50% (11/22)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.42
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1014
Tackles
71% (10/14)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
2726
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.182.66
Goals prevented
0.18-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Bjerkebo I. , Lindberg M. (A),
  • 39', Persson J. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Castegren H. , Walta L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Hellemaa A. , Wenderson ,
  • 58', Zeneli A. , Rapp G. ,
  • 60', Anker T. 🟨,
  • 67', Silverholt T. , Frick P. ,
  • 69', Granli D. 🟨,
  • 75', Sigurpalsson A. , Larsson J. ,
  • 75', Buhari I. , Hedlund S. ,
  • 77', 3 - 0, Walta L. , Bjerkebo I. (A),
  • 83', Bjerkebo I. , Widgren D. ,
  • 86', 4 - 0, Walta L. ,
  • 87', Persson J. , Svensson V. ,
  • 89', Lindberg M. , Nartey M. ,
  • 89', Ure R. , Milleskog N. ,
  • 90', Heier M. , Vikman A. ,

Chances of winning


Sirius
50.5%
Draw
23.5%
Elfsborg
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 22.9% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 18.3% 29.1%

Sirius - Elfsborg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.86
(1.7)
3.99
(4)
3.66
(3.95)
6.1%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sirius - Elfsborg?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sirius (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 1.
    • Sirius has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Elfsborg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sirius may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sirius could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Elfsborg: Hedlund S. (Inactive) Holmen S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sirius: Ljungberg A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 33:41. (average 1.7:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - Elfsborg were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Elfsborg - Sirius 4:3
    06.10.2024 Sirius - Elfsborg 4:1
    29.04.2024 Elfsborg - Sirius 2:0
    06.08.2023 Elfsborg - Sirius 1:0
    08.05.2023 Sirius - Elfsborg 3:4
    Latest results of Sirius
    18.10.2025 Häcken - Sirius 1:1
    05.10.2025 Sirius - Malmö 5:1
    29.09.2025 Djurgården - Sirius 8:2
    21.09.2025 Sirius - Degerfors 1:3
    14.09.2025 Sirius - GAIS 3:0
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    19.10.2025 Elfsborg - Öster 5:1
    04.10.2025 Mjällby - Elfsborg 2:0
    27.09.2025 Elfsborg - Degerfors 1:2
    20.09.2025 GAIS - Elfsborg 2:0
    14.09.2025 Elfsborg - Malmö 2:2
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1NorrkopingOrgryte0 : 0, 0 : 3