Result
4:3
23/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 5
- Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.17 | 2.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
88% (375/426) | 89% (391/439) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.17 | 2.00 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.88 | 2.49 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
38 | 26 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
88% (375/426) | 89% (391/439) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (19/37) | 58% (32/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (96/127) | 79% (119/150) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (5/18) | 21% (4/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.04 | 0.73 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (9/14) | 55% (6/11) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 36 |
Clearances Total |
---|
19 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.49 | 1.88 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.51 | -2.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Sigurpalsson A. ⚽, Olsson S. (A),
- 19', Voelkerling J. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Walta L. (Pen),
- 36', Ure R. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Silverholt T. ⚽, Granli D. (A),
- 39', Hedlund S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 53', Carlsson T. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 2, Ure R. ⚽, Persson J. (A),
- 59', Voelkerling J. ↓, Sandberg S. ↑,
- 59', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Ljungberg A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 3, Walta L. ⚽, Sandberg S. (A),
- 66', Rapp G. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
- 66', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Richtner L. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 3, Wikstrom R. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
- 75', Vikman A. ↓, Lindberg M. ↑,
- 79', Silverholt T. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 3, Hedlund S. ⚽, Hult N. (A),
Chances of winning
Elfsborg 55.9% | Draw 24.1% | Sirius 20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Elfsborg - Sirius Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↑ (1.55) |
3.94 ↓ (4.33) |
4.75 ↓ (5.25) |
5.4% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Sirius?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Sirius will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 4.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Elfsborg is a favorite.
- There will not play in Sirius: Milleskog N.
(Inactive)
Nwadike P.
(Inactive)
Sjogrell H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Elfsborg: Thomasen J.
(Inactive)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 37:30 (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Elfsborg won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:7 (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Sirius?
Elfsborg has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Elfsborg?
Sirius has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - Sirius were as follows:
06.10.2024
Sirius
-
Elfsborg
4:1
29.04.2024
Elfsborg
-
Sirius
2:0
06.08.2023
Elfsborg
-
Sirius
1:0
08.05.2023
Sirius
-
Elfsborg
3:4
18.09.2022
Elfsborg
-
Sirius
3:0
Latest results of Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
3 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
4 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
6 | GAIS | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 28 |
7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Brommapojkarna | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Norrkoping | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 18 |
12 | Halmstad | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:31 | -17 | 17 |
13 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
14 | Degerfors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 13 |
15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan