Elva vs Nõmme Kalju U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Esiliiga Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21
Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 10

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Lubaso E. , Baptista T. (A),
  • 8', Jagodinskis R. 🟨,
  • 16', Volossatov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 65', Harm H. , Thomson M. ,
  • 65', Lani G. , Karasjov N. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Paju A. , Thomson M. (A),
  • 76', 2 - 1, Poldsaar K. ,
  • 82', Tummeltau R. , Kangur J. ,
  • 85', Okoro A. , Lindmae R. ,
  • 90+2', Villems M. , Jaagant R. ,

Chances of winning


Elva
66.6%
Draw
18.2%
Nõmme Kalju U21
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 22.2% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 19.1% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elva's performance.
  • Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme Kalju U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elva that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme Kalju U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.59)
    5.09
    (4.11)
    6.06
    (4.41)
    8.3%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 8 in the zone Esiliiga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 5.
    • In recent matches, Elva has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nõmme Kalju U21's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Elva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nõmme Kalju U21 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Elva is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Elva won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21 were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Nõmme Kalju U21 - Elva 0:2
    Latest results of Elva
    03.05.2025 Elva - Flora U21 2:2
    24.04.2025 FC Tallinn - Elva 1:1
    17.04.2025 Elva - Nõmme United 0:2
    13.04.2025 Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva 3:2
    06.04.2025 Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva 0:1
    Latest results of Nõmme Kalju U21
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nomme Utd20171266:135352
    2Viimsi JK20143345:153045
    3Tartu Welco20124445:271840
    4Elva20105541:35635
    5FC Tallinn2084834:32228
    6Flora U212066835:30524
    7Nomme Kalju U2120711229:51-2222
    8Levadia U2120551030:37-720
    9Tallinna Kalev U2120171228:55-2710
    10Tammeka U2120201821:79-586

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