Elva vs Nõmme Kalju U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
02/05/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
69
Corner kicks
77
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Jabir I. ,
  • 17', 0 - 2, Sarapuu K. ,
  • 19', 1 - 2, Paju A. ,
  • 30', 1 - 3, Jabir I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 82', 2 - 3, Mbuthia J. ,
  • 86', 2 - 4, Jabir I. ,

Chances of winning


Elva
56%
Draw
21.4%
Nõmme Kalju U21
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 22.8% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 23.3% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elva's performance.
  • Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.82)
    4.22
    (3.98)
    4.01
    (3.35)
    10.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8 in the zone Esiliiga (Relegation))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 4.
    • Elva is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nõmme Kalju U21's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Elva could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elva won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21 were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21 0:1
    30.08.2025 Nõmme Kalju U21 - Elva 0:1
    11.05.2025 Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21 2:1
    08.03.2025 Nõmme Kalju U21 - Elva 0:2
    Latest results of Elva
    27.04.2026 Tartu Welco - Elva 3:3
    23.04.2026 Flora U21 - Elva 3:2
    19.04.2026 Elva - Nõmme United U21 1:3
    09.04.2026 Tallinna Kalev - Elva 2:1
    03.04.2026 Elva - Viimsi JK 1:0
    Latest results of Nõmme Kalju U21
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tartu Welco971130:111922
    2Flora U21860225:131218
    3Viimsi JK952215:8717
    4Nomme Utd U21842218:15314
    5Tallinna Kalev932419:19011
    6Elva932417:18-111
    7Nomme Kalju U21931515:24-910
    8FC Tallinn923416:26-109
    9Maardu913510:25-156
    10Levadia U21920715:21-66

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