Result
2:4
02/05/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 13', 0 - 1, Jabir I. ⚽,
- 17', 0 - 2, Sarapuu K. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 2, Paju A. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 3, Jabir I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 82', 2 - 3, Mbuthia J. ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 4, Jabir I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Elva 56% | Draw 21.4% | Nõmme Kalju U21 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elva's performance.Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (1.82) |
4.22 ↑ (3.98) |
4.01 ↑ (3.35) |
10.5% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8 in the zone Esiliiga (Relegation))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 4.
- Elva is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nõmme Kalju U21's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Elva could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elva won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Elva won against Nõmme Kalju U21?
Elva has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju U21 won against Elva?
Nõmme Kalju U21 has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21 were as follows:
04.10.2025
Elva
-
Nõmme Kalju U21
0:1
30.08.2025
Nõmme Kalju U21
-
Elva
0:1
11.05.2025
Elva
-
Nõmme Kalju U21
2:1
08.03.2025
Nõmme Kalju U21
-
Elva
0:2
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 22 |
| 2 | Flora U21 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 25:13 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Viimsi JK | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nomme Utd U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Elva | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Nomme Kalju U21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 10 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:26 | -10 | 9 |
| 9 | Maardu | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:25 | -15 | 6 |
| 10 | Levadia U21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Meistriliiga
Promotion ~ Meistriliiga (Promotion: )
Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga B