Elva vs Tallinna Kalev U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Esiliiga Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21
Result
5:3
05/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 18

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Poldsaar K. ,
  • 22', Ilves R. 🟨,
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 30', Liiker S. 🟨,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Villems M. (Pen),
  • 34', 🟨,
  • 35', Laasner K. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)
  • 46', Ilves E. , Harm H. ,
  • 47', 3 - 0, Jagodinskis R. ,
  • 51', 3 - 1, Leis L. ,
  • 52', 4 - 1, Poldsaar K. ,
  • 62', Okoro A. , Lehter D. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 71', 4 - 2, Ilves R. ,
  • 74', 5 - 2, ,
  • 78', 5 - 3, Ilves R. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+6', Laaneots D. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Elva
75.2%
Draw
14.6%
Tallinna Kalev U21
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 19.2% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 18.5% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elva's performance.
  • Tallinna Kalev U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elva that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallinna Kalev U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.45)
    6.31
    (4.7)
    8.96
    (4.93)
    8.9%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 1.
    • Elva is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kalev U21 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Elva is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Elva won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21 were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva 0:1
    27.10.2024 Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21 1:1
    20.07.2024 Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva 2:2
    18.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva 4:0
    30.03.2024 Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21 2:2
    Latest results of Elva
    19.06.2025 Elva - Viimsi JK 1:0
    14.06.2025 Tartu Welco - Elva 2:5
    11.06.2025 Tartu Kalev - Elva 1:2
    01.06.2025 Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21 2:2
    29.05.2025 Flora U21 - Elva 0:1
    Latest results of Tallinna Kalev U21
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nomme Utd20171266:135352
    2Viimsi JK20143345:153045
    3Tartu Welco20124445:271840
    4Elva20105541:35635
    5FC Tallinn2084834:32228
    6Flora U212066835:30524
    7Nomme Kalju U2120711229:51-2222
    8Levadia U2120551030:37-720
    9Tallinna Kalev U2120171228:55-2710
    10Tammeka U2120201821:79-586

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          Esiliiga (Relegation)
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