Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Oriental
29.1% | Draw
29.5% | Elvas
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriental's form might have worsened.Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oriental - Elvas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(2.6) |
3.08 ↓
(3.1) |
2.19 ↓
(2.45) |
10%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
- In recent matches, Oriental has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Elvas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Oriental may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Oriental won against Elvas?
Oriental has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elvas won against Oriental?
Elvas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oriental - Elvas were as follows:
03.03.2024
Oriental
-
Elvas
2:1
05.11.2023
Elvas
-
Oriental
1:1
Latest results of Oriental
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | Juv. Evora | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Louletano | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 32 |
| 4 | Serpa | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Alverca B | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Oriental | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | O Elvas CAD | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 16:35 | -19 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
