Oriental vs Atlético da Malveira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
08/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
25
Total shots
97
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 69', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Oriental
33%
Draw
30%
Atlético da Malveira
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29.6% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.9% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriental's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético da Malveira's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético da Malveira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Oriental - Atlético da Malveira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.2)
    3.02
    (2.95)
    2.44
    (2.85)
    10.5%
    (14.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oriental - Atlético da Malveira were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Atlético da Malveira - Oriental 2:0
    Latest results of Oriental
    Latest results of Atlético da Malveira
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louletano26148436:152150
    2Malveira26138538:231547
    3Alverca B26145749:321747
    4Juv. Evora261210436:231346
    5GD Alcochetense26118733:221141
    6Sintrense26117830:25540
    7Lagoa26116944:341039
    8O Elvas CAD26971033:29434
    9Serpa26971028:34-634
    10Oriental26711829:35-632
    11Moncarapachense26710921:21031
    12Portimonense B26641619:42-2322
    13Industria26281620:45-2514
    14Vasco da Gama261111420:56-3614

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation