Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 16
  • Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.41
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
82% (326/396)73% (215/293)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.25
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
95
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2424
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
217
Passes
82% (326/396)73% (215/293)
Long passes
31% (11/35)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
66% (63/95)67% (54/81)
Crosses
19% (3/16)50% (9/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.10
Throw-ins
2723
Fouls
721
Tackles
77% (10/13)57% (16/28)
Duels won
5449
Clearances
2325
Interceptions
169
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.250.60
Goals prevented
0.25-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Keidel F. 🟨,
  • 32', Suso S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Daland J. ↓, de Wijs J. ↑,
  • 63', Rasmussen C. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
  • 63', Appelkamp S. ↓, Lenz C. ↑,
  • 65', Keidel F. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
  • 65', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
  • 78', Schmahl F. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
  • 78', Mickelson N. ↓, Rohr M. ↑,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Stange O. ⚽, Zimmerschied T. (A),
  • 85', Suso S. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
  • 85', Iyoha E. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
  • 87', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
  • 90+6', Lenz C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Schmidt K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Elversberg
60.4%		Draw
21.3%		Fortuna Düsseldorf
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 22.5% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 21.8% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.56 ↓
    (1.59)    		 4.44 ↑
    (4.15)    		 5.13 ↑
    (4.99)    		 6.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In recent matches, Elversberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fortuna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Elversberg is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) Breithaupt T. (Injury) Oberdorf T. (Red Card) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elversberg: Rohr M. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna: Lunddal V. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1
    23.11.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg 0:2
    10.02.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg 1:1
    26.08.2023 Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:5
    Latest results of Elversberg
    06.12.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Elversberg - Darmstadt 0:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Karlsruher - Elversberg 2:3 ✺
    08.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:0 ✺
    31.10.2025 Elversberg - Hannover 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    05.12.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04 0:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg 2:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Kaiserslautern 1:1 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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