Nürnberg vs Elversberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.732.29
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
2713
Shots on target
127
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
73
Passes
80% (313/391)82% (319/390)
Yellow cards
51
Expected goals (xG)
2.732.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.192.22
Total shots
2713
Shots on target
127
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
2010
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
20
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3119
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1310
Passes
80% (313/391)82% (319/390)
Long passes
56% (23/41)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
65% (77/118)69% (55/80)
Crosses
50% (9/18)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.84
Throw ins
1319
Fouls
1013
Tackles
60% (12/20)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
1421
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
48
xGOT faced
2.222.19
Goals prevented
0.22-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Zoma M. A. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Zimmerschied T. , Gunther L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', Keidel F. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Justvan J. , Yilmaz B. (A),
  • 59', Petkov L. , Stange O. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Malanga J. , Gunther L. (A),
  • 67', Markhiev A. 🟨,
  • 69', Scobel P. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Scobel P. ,
  • 72', Mokwa Ntusu D. , Conde A. ,
  • 72', Keidel F. , Gyamerah J. ,
  • 79', Drexler T. , Janisch T. ,
  • 80', Zoma M. A. , Maboulou N. ,
  • 81', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
  • 83', Lochoshvili L. 🟨,
  • 83', Klose M. 🟨,
  • 84', Klose M. 🟨,
  • 85', Stange O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90', Lubach R. , Baack T. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Scobel P. , Yilmaz B. (A),
  • 90+4', Schmahl F. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90+4', Zimmerschied T. , Adam R. ,
  • 90+4', Gruber F. , Knoche R. ,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
36.9%
Draw
27.7%
Elversberg
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 25.8% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 26.1% 43.1%

Nürnberg - Elversberg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.54
(3.08)
3.37
(3.67)
2.63
(2.17)
7%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Elversberg?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Elversberg will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Nürnberg (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Nürnberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Elversberg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Elversberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Grzywacz E. (Knee Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Justvan J. (Illness) Porstner E. (Illness) Zoma M. A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Elversberg were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Elversberg - Nürnberg 1:0
    04.05.2025 Nürnberg - Elversberg 1:3
    06.12.2024 Elversberg - Nürnberg 2:1
    11.05.2024 Nürnberg - Elversberg 3:0
    10.12.2023 Elversberg - Nürnberg 0:1
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    21.12.2025 Nürnberg - Hannover 2:1
    14.12.2025 Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 1:0
    29.11.2025 Magdeburg - Nürnberg 3:0
    Latest results of Elversberg
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt21118240:221841
    2Schalke21124526:161040
    3Paderborn21123633:24939
    4Elversberg21115537:231438
    5Hannover21115538:281038
    6Hertha Berlin2197528:20834
    7Kaiserslautern2194835:31431
    8Bochum2176830:27327
    9Karlsruher SC2176830:37-727
    10Nurnberg2175924:30-626
    11Arminia Bielefeld2166933:30324
    12Holstein Kiel2166926:29-324
    13Dusseldorf21731120:31-1124
    14Braunschweig21731123:35-1224
    15Magdeburg21721231:37-623
    16Preussen Munster2157925:32-722
    17SG Dynamo Dresden21561031:38-721
    18Greuther Furth21541232:52-2019

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga