Nürnberg vs Elversberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.732.29
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
2713
Shots on target
127
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
73
Passes
80% (313/391)82% (319/390)
Yellow cards
51
Expected goals (xG)
2.732.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.192.22
Total shots
2713
Shots on target
127
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
2010
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
20
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3119
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1310
Passes
80% (313/391)82% (319/390)
Long passes
56% (23/41)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
65% (77/118)69% (55/80)
Crosses
50% (9/18)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.84
Throw ins
1319
Fouls
1013
Tackles
60% (12/20)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
1421
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
48
xGOT faced
2.222.19
Goals prevented
0.22-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Zoma M. A. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Zimmerschied T. , Gunther L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', Keidel F. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Justvan J. , Yilmaz B. (A),
  • 59', Petkov L. , Stange O. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Malanga J. , Gunther L. (A),
  • 67', Markhiev A. 🟨,
  • 69', Scobel P. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Scobel P. ,
  • 72', Mokwa Ntusu D. , Conde A. ,
  • 72', Keidel F. , Gyamerah J. ,
  • 79', Drexler T. , Janisch T. ,
  • 80', Zoma M. A. , Maboulou N. ,
  • 81', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
  • 83', Lochoshvili L. 🟨,
  • 83', Klose M. 🟨,
  • 84', Klose M. 🟨,
  • 85', Stange O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90', Lubach R. , Baack T. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Scobel P. , Yilmaz B. (A),
  • 90+4', Schmahl F. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90+4', Zimmerschied T. , Adam R. ,
  • 90+4', Gruber F. , Knoche R. ,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
36.9%
Draw
27.7%
Elversberg
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 25.8% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 26.1% 43.1%

Nürnberg - Elversberg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.54
(3.08)
3.37
(3.67)
2.63
(2.17)
7%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Elversberg?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Elversberg will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Nürnberg (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Nürnberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Elversberg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Elversberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Grzywacz E. (Knee Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Justvan J. (Illness) Porstner E. (Illness) Zoma M. A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Elversberg were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Elversberg - Nürnberg 1:0
    04.05.2025 Nürnberg - Elversberg 1:3
    06.12.2024 Elversberg - Nürnberg 2:1
    11.05.2024 Nürnberg - Elversberg 3:0
    10.12.2023 Elversberg - Nürnberg 0:1
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    21.12.2025 Nürnberg - Hannover 2:1
    14.12.2025 Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 1:0
    29.11.2025 Magdeburg - Nürnberg 3:0
    Latest results of Elversberg
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke18122422:101238
    2Elversberg18104433:181534
    3Darmstadt1897232:201234
    4Paderborn18103528:20833
    5Kaiserslautern1893632:221030
    6Hannover1885531:25629
    7Hertha Berlin1885521:16529
    8Nurnberg1874722:25-325
    9Karlsruher SC1874727:33-625
    10Holstein Kiel1865722:22023
    11Bochum1864826:25122
    12Magdeburg18621024:29-520
    13Preussen Munster1855822:28-620
    14Dusseldorf18621016:27-1120
    15Braunschweig18621020:32-1220
    16Arminia Bielefeld1854927:25219
    17SG Dynamo Dresden18441026:34-816
    18Greuther Furth18431126:46-2015

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          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga