Result
1:0
28/09/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 23
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Pluas W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Valencia M. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 57', Rivera K. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 58', Munoz E. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 62', Caicedo R. 🟨,
- 72', Caicedo B. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,
- 73', Chamba T. ↓, Gonzaga J. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Ontivero L. ⚽,
- 78', Ontivero L. 🟨,
- 84', Solis M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 84', Erbes C. ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
- 86', Suarez D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Padilla J. ↓, Hurtado K. ↑,
- 90+4', Lemos A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cumbayá
23.7% | Draw
28.7% | Emelec
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-1.6%)The ML Model estimate for Emelec aligns with the current prediction.
Cumbayá - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.88 ↓
(4.65) |
3.22 ↓
(3.4) |
1.94 ↑
(1.75) |
8.3%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cumbayá - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Emelec will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).
- Cumbayá has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Emelec is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Emelec will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.
- Including matches at home between the teams Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Emelec?
Cumbayá has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Cumbayá?
Emelec has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cumbayá - Emelec were as follows:
13.04.2024
Emelec
-
Cumbayá
2:0
07.10.2023
Emelec
-
Cumbayá
3:0
07.05.2023
Cumbayá
-
Emelec
0:0
02.09.2022
Emelec
-
Cumbayá
1:0
Latest results of Cumbayá
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
