Result
0:1
21/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (302/370) | 76% (258/340) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (302/370) | 76% (258/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (28/50) | 46% (33/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (82/109) | 44% (40/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Mina A. 🟨,
- 58', Chaves M. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
- 65', Castillo A. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 72', Mina A. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
- 72', Klimowicz L. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
- 77', Griffith V. 🟨,
- 84', Mina A. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
- 90+2', Castano M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Johan Bocanegra 🟨,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, Cevallos J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+6', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
- 90+6', Perea M. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 90+7', Estupinan L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Guerrico I. ↓, Segura E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario
42.2% | Draw
31% | Emelec
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Técnico Universitario - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.46) |
2.99
(2.99) |
3.46 ↑
(3.04) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.
- Técnico Univ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Emelec is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Emelec?
Técnico Universitario has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Técnico Universitario?
Emelec has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - Emelec were as follows:
17.08.2025
Técnico Universitario
-
Emelec
0:1
27.04.2025
Emelec
-
Técnico Universitario
0:1
22.09.2024
Emelec
-
Técnico Universitario
3:1
08.09.2024
Emelec
-
Técnico Universitario
0:1
07.04.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
Emelec
1:1
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Libertad | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
