Libertad Loja vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Libertad Loja - Emelec
Result
1:2
03/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.48
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
76% (248/327)65% (133/204)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.69
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
118
Passes
76% (248/327)65% (133/204)
Long passes
47% (27/57)43% (23/53)
Passes in final third
64% (76/118)68% (69/101)
Crosses
22% (8/36)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.50
Throw-ins
2613
Fouls
811
Tackles
50% (8/16)85% (17/20)
Duels won
4953
Clearances
1644
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.691.09
Goals prevented
-0.310.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Castelli F. , Caicedo R. (A),
  • 45+2', Arboleda C. , Bolanos D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Quinonez A. , Monaga J. ,
  • 48', Barco A. 🟨,
  • 62', Bolanos D. 🟨,
  • 69', Zambrano I. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Caicedo E. (Pen),
  • 77', Gonzalez A. , Solis M. ,
  • 84', Ayovi W. , Avila D. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Leon F. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Castelli F. , Borja R. ,
  • 90+7', Angulo J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Libertad Loja
40%
Draw
29.6%
Emelec
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 27.8% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Libertad Loja - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.21)
    3.4
    (3.24)
    3.21
    (3.19)
    -1.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Emelec will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Emelec were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Emelec - Libertad Loja 1:1
    30.11.2024 Libertad Loja - Emelec 2:1
    01.06.2024 Emelec - Libertad Loja 0:0
    04.08.2023 Libertad Loja - Emelec 0:0
    26.02.2023 Emelec - Libertad Loja 2:0
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Latest results of Emelec
    30.07.2025 Miguel Iturralde - Emelec 1:2
    26.07.2025 Manta - Emelec 2:4
    20.07.2025 Emelec - Mushuc Runa 1:0
    12.07.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:0
    05.07.2025 Emelec - Vinotinto 2:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle25158245:202553
    2Barcelona SC26145738:29947
    3LDU Quito25128541:241744
    4Dep. Cuenca26126831:25642
    5Libertad26118740:34641
    6Aucas261151035:37-238
    7Orense25115927:29-238
    8U. Catolica2599746:331336
    9Emelec2598824:28-435
    10Macara26791025:27-230
    11EL Nacional25771130:35-528
    12Delfin25610924:37-1328
    13Tecnico U25671224:35-1125
    14Manta265101131:43-1225
    15Vinotinto26661429:37-824
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 26551628:45-1720

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )