Result
1:2
03/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.14 | 1.48 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
76% (248/327) | 65% (133/204) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.14 | 1.48 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.09 | 1.69 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
76% (248/327) | 65% (133/204) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (27/57) | 43% (23/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (76/118) | 68% (69/101) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (8/36) | 9% (1/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.45 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (8/16) | 85% (17/20) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 44 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.69 | 1.09 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.31 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Castelli F. ⚽, Caicedo R. (A),
- 45+2', Arboleda C. ↓, Bolanos D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Quinonez A. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 48', Barco A. 🟨,
- 62', Bolanos D. 🟨,
- 69', Zambrano I. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 1, Caicedo E. (Pen),
- 77', Gonzalez A. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 84', Ayovi W. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Leon F. (Pen),
- 90+5', Castelli F. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
- 90+7', Angulo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja 40% | Draw 29.6% | Emelec 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Libertad Loja - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.64 ↑ (2.21) |
3.4 ↑ (3.24) |
3.21 ↑ (3.19) |
-1.5% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Emelec will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Emelec?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Libertad Loja?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Emelec were as follows:
11.04.2025
Emelec
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
30.11.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Emelec
2:1
01.06.2024
Emelec
-
Libertad Loja
0:0
04.08.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Emelec
0:0
26.02.2023
Emelec
-
Libertad Loja
2:0
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
2 | LDU Quito | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
5 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
6 | Aucas | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
7 | U. Catolica | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 34 |
8 | Libertad | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Emelec | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Manta | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 23 |
15 | Tecnico U | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
16 | Mushuc Runa | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )