Result
1:2
03/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (248/327) | 65% (133/204) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (248/327) | 65% (133/204) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (76/118) | 68% (69/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/36) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Castelli F. ⚽, Caicedo R. (A),
- 45+2', Arboleda C. ↓, Bolanos D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Quinonez A. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 48', Barco A. 🟨,
- 62', Bolanos D. 🟨,
- 69', Zambrano I. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 1, Caicedo E. (Pen),
- 77', Gonzalez A. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 84', Ayovi W. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Leon F. (Pen),
- 90+5', Castelli F. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
- 90+7', Angulo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
40% | Draw
29.6% | Emelec
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Libertad Loja - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.21) |
3.4 ↑
(3.24) |
3.21 ↑
(3.19) |
-1.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Emelec will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 16.1% – 74.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 50%). Emelec (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Emelec (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Emelec (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 25%). Emelec (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Emelec?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Libertad Loja?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Emelec were as follows:
11.04.2025
Emelec
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
30.11.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Emelec
2:1
01.06.2024
Emelec
-
Libertad Loja
0:0
04.08.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Emelec
0:0
26.02.2023
Emelec
-
Libertad Loja
2:0
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Aucas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Macara | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Libertad | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4:14 | -10 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
