Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 25
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (260/320) | 82% (305/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (260/320) | 82% (305/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 53% (32/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (104/139) | 64% (64/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Minda T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Medranda M. 🟨,
- 54', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 61', Cevallos J. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
- 61', Angulo J. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 64', Ponguillo J. 🟥,
- 68', Cueva C. 🟨,
- 74', Minda T. ↓, Celis R. ↑,
- 74', Vera D. ↓, Cuero Fabian ↑,
- 75', Medranda M. 🟨,
- 81', Gonzalez A. ↓, Palma J. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 1, Ayovi J. ⚽, Caicedo R. (A),
- 90', Jimenez J. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
- 90+4', Ayovi J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Palma J. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
- 90+7', Barco A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario
41.9% | Draw
30.5% | Emelec
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Técnico Universitario's performance.Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Técnico Universitario that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Técnico Universitario - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.86) |
3.03 ↓
(3.1) |
3.32 ↑
(2.45) |
8.4%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Técnico Univ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Emelec?
Técnico Universitario has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Técnico Universitario?
Emelec has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - Emelec were as follows:
27.04.2025
Emelec
-
Técnico Universitario
0:1
22.09.2024
Emelec
-
Técnico Universitario
3:1
08.09.2024
Emelec
-
Técnico Universitario
0:1
07.04.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
Emelec
1:1
17.08.2023
Técnico Universitario
-
Emelec
0:0
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
