Técnico Universitario vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Bellavista (Ambato).

Liga Pro - Round 25
Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	0.43
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
81% (260/320)	82% (305/373)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.11	0.98
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
5	4
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
22	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
81% (260/320)	82% (305/373)
Long passes
45% (25/55)	53% (32/60)
Passes in final third
75% (104/139)	64% (64/100)
Crosses
37% (7/19)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	0.68
Throw-ins
12	12
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
60% (9/15)	64% (14/22)
Duels won
49	50
Clearances
19	23
Interceptions
18	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.98	0.11
Goals prevented
-0.02	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Minda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Medranda M. 🟨,
54', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
61', Cevallos J. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
61', Angulo J. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
64', Ponguillo J. 🟥,
68', Cueva C. 🟨,
74', Minda T. ↓, Celis R. ↑,
74', Vera D. ↓, Cuero Fabian ↑,
75', Medranda M. 🟨,
81', Gonzalez A. ↓, Palma J. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Ayovi J. ⚽, Caicedo R. (A),
90', Jimenez J. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
90+4', Ayovi J. 🟨,
90+6', Palma J. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
90+7', Barco A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Técnico Universitario
41.9%

Draw
30.5%

Emelec
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.9%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.7%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Técnico Universitario's performance.

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Técnico Universitario that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Técnico Universitario - Emelec Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.86)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	3.32 ↑ (2.45)	8.4% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.
Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
Técnico Univ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Emelec?

Técnico Universitario has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Técnico Universitario?

Emelec has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - Emelec were as follows:

27.04.2025 Emelec - Técnico Universitario 0:1

22.09.2024 Emelec - Técnico Universitario 3:1

08.09.2024 Emelec - Técnico Universitario 0:1

07.04.2024 Técnico Universitario - Emelec 1:1

17.08.2023 Técnico Universitario - Emelec 0:0

Latest results of Técnico Universitario

10.08.2025 Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario 0:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Técnico Universitario - Manta 3:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario 0:1 ✺

20.07.2025 Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará 1:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Técnico Universitario 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Emelec

11.08.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 1:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Libertad Loja - Emelec 1:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Miguel Iturralde - Emelec 1:2 ✺

26.07.2025 Manta - Emelec 2:4 ✺

20.07.2025 Emelec - Mushuc Runa 1:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle ✔	30	18	10	2	55:23	32	64
2	Barcelona SC ✔	30	16	6	8	46:33	13	54
3	LDU Quito ✔	30	14	9	7	48:31	17	51
4	U. Catolica	30	13	10	7	58:39	19	49
5	Orense	30	13	8	9	34:32	2	47
6	Libertad	30	12	10	8	42:36	6	46
7	Dep. Cuenca	30	13	7	10	35:29	6	46
8	Emelec ✔	30	11	9	10	30:34	-4	42
9	Aucas ✔	30	11	8	11	38:41	-3	41
10	Macara ✔	30	9	11	10	32:30	2	38
11	EL Nacional ✔	30	9	7	14	32:46	-14	34
12	Delfin	30	6	13	11	26:42	-16	31
13	Tecnico U	30	7	7	16	26:46	-20	28
14	Vinotinto	30	7	6	17	34:43	-9	27
15	Mushuc Runa ✔	30	7	6	17	38:50	-12	27
16	Manta ✔	30	5	11	14	34:53	-19	26

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )