Result
 
                    5:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        14/05/2023 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 32
- Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Greece | Nova Sports | 
|  Netherlands | ESPN | 
|  Romania | Sport Extra | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | AZ Alkmaar 71.1%
 | Draw 18.1%
 | Emmen 10.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        AZ Alkmaar - Emmen Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.34 ↑ (1.31)
 | 5.24 ↓ (5.37)
 | 8.83 ↑ (8.74)
 | 5.2% (6.3%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Emmen?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            21 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Emmen will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 58% – 94.4%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- AZ has the most likely position - 4 (75.56%),  project points - 66,  currently - 61,  not chance of relegated,  a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%),  not chance of win league.
- Emmen has the most likely position - 16 (69.46%),  project points - 30,  currently - 28,  a good chance of relegated (69%),  not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 48, importance 50, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches AZ won 5. 
- AZ is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3). 
- Recent matches Emmen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
- AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
- In this match AZ is certain favorite.
- There will not play in AZ: Chatzidiakos P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in AZ: Karlsson J.
(Injury)
Martins Indi B.
(Hip Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Emmen: Guclu M.
(Injury)
Kieftenbeld M.
(Knee Injury)
Lieder M.
(Knee Injury)
 
- Last 9 head-to-head matches AZ won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-3. 
- Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Emmen?
                    
                    
                        
                            AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against AZ Alkmaar?
                    
                    
                        
                             Emmen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Emmen were as follows:
                                                        
                                04.09.2022 
                                Emmen 
                                - 
                                AZ Alkmaar 
                                0:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of AZ Alkmaar                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | PSV | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27:9 | 18 | 25 | 
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 | 
| 4 | Ajax | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 20:14 | 6 | 19 | 
| 5 | Groningen | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 18 | 
| 6 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:22 | -8 | 16 | 
| 7 | Nijmegen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 15 | 
| 8 | Twente | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 14 | 
| 9 | Utrecht | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 | 
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 | 
| 11 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:18 | 0 | 13 | 
| 12 | Sittard | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 | 
| 13 | FC Volendam | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 | 
| 14 | NAC Breda | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 9 | 
| 15 | Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 9 | 
| 16 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 | 
| 17 | Telstar | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 7 | 
| 18 | Heracles | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:30 | -23 | 3 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie