Result
1:1
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 10
- Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (272/342) | 86% (456/530) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (272/342) | 86% (456/530) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (40/69) | 72% (88/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 55', Abildgaard O. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
- 58', Elia S. 🟨,
- 62', Benedetti L. 🟨,
- 65', Elia S. 🟨,
- 66', Pellegri P. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
- 67', Benedetti L. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
- 67', Ferrari A. ↓, Vulikic S. ↑,
- 73', Ghion A. ↓, Yepes G. ↑,
- 73', Shpendi S. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Popov B. ⚽,
- 79', Ricci M. ↓, Ferri J. ↑,
- 79', Ioannou N. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Cuni M. ⚽, Barak A. (A),
- 90+8', Belardinelli L. 🟨,
- 90+8', Ferri J. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yn4nv4ua
Chances of winning
Empoli
40.5% | Draw
30.7% | Sampdoria
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Empoli - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.28) |
3.03 ↓
(3.15) |
3.2 ↑
(3.17) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Empoli - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Empoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Empoli could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Nasti M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G.
(Knee Injury)
Coucke G.
(Inactive)
Girelli S.
(Inactive)
Pafundi S.
(Inactive)
Pedrola E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Sampdoria: Depaoli F.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Sampdoria?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Empoli?
Sampdoria has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Sampdoria were as follows:
03.08.2024
Empoli
-
Sampdoria
0:2
15.05.2023
Sampdoria
-
Empoli
1:1
16.01.2023
Empoli
-
Sampdoria
1:0
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52:28 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Palermo | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 32:32 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Empoli | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Bari | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 28 |
| 18 | Mantova | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 20 | Pescara | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
