Carrarese vs Empoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara).

Serie B - Round 21
Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.48	0.84
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
2	5
Passes
85% (416/488)	81% (326/402)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.48	0.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.44	0.76
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
7	9
Shots outside the box
4	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
11	19
Accurate through passes
2	1
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
10	11
Passes
85% (416/488)	81% (326/402)
Long passes
55% (36/66)	53% (28/53)
Passes in final third
73% (65/89)	61% (63/103)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	1.02
Throw ins
23	30
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
59% (10/17)	31% (4/13)
Duels won
43	34
Clearances
29	15
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.76	2.44
Goals prevented
0.76	-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Illanes J. ⚽, Zuelli E. (A),
36', Nasti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Elia S. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
46', Ilie R. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Zanon S. ⚽,
64', Rubino T. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
64', Belloni N. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
67', Oliana F. 🟨,
69', Oliana F. ↓, Ruggeri F. ↑,
71', Ghion A. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
71', Moruzzi B. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Abiuso F. ⚽, Schiavi N. (A),
78', Nasti M. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
80', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
80', Hasa L. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Carrarese
39.6%

Draw
30.2%

Empoli
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Carrarese - Empoli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.35)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)	3.11 ↑ (2.93)	6.3% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Carrarese - Empoli?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Carrarese (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).
Carrarese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Empoli has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Carrarese might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F. (Inactive) Imperiale M. (Inactive) Salamon B. (Inactive)
There will not play in Empoli: Indragoli G. (Inactive) Konate I. (Inactive) Pellegri P. (Injury) Saporiti E. (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Empoli?

Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Carrarese?

Empoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Empoli were as follows:

28.09.2025 Empoli - Carrarese 2:2

Latest results of Carrarese

17.01.2026 Avellino - Carrarese 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Carrarese - Bari 1:0 ✺

27.12.2025 Carrarese - Mantova 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Monza - Carrarese 4:1 ✺

14.12.2025 Carrarese - Virtus Entella 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Empoli

17.01.2026 Empoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige 0:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Cesena - Empoli 0:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Empoli - Frosinone 1:1 ✺

21.12.2025 Mantova - Empoli 0:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Juve Stabia - Empoli 2:0 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia ✔	37	23	10	4	75:31	44	79
2	Frosinone	37	22	12	3	71:34	37	78
3	Monza	37	22	9	6	59:30	29	75
4	Palermo	37	20	12	5	61:31	30	72
5	Catanzaro ✔	37	15	14	8	60:48	12	59
6	Modena ✔	37	15	10	12	49:35	14	55
7	Juve Stabia ✔	37	11	17	9	43:44	-1	50
8	Avellino	37	12	10	15	42:55	-13	46
9	Cesena	37	12	10	15	42:52	-10	46
10	Mantova	37	13	7	17	45:52	-7	46
11	Carrarese	37	10	14	13	46:50	-4	44
12	Sampdoria	37	11	11	15	35:47	-12	44
13	Padova	37	11	10	16	35:46	-11	43
14	Empoli	37	9	13	15	45:52	-7	40
15	Sudtirol	37	8	16	13	37:47	-10	40
16	Entella	37	9	12	16	34:50	-16	39
17	Bari	37	9	10	18	35:58	-23	37
18	Pescara	37	7	13	17	50:65	-15	34
19	Spezia	37	8	10	19	42:58	-16	34
20	Reggiana	37	8	10	19	35:56	-21	34

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)