Result
3:1
20/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (124/199) | 79% (295/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (124/199) | 79% (295/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (50/96) | 72% (91/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 36 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Torres C. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
- 30', Perez K. 🟨,
- 45', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Cuervo S. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 1, Torres M. (Own goal),
- 56', Hinestroza J. 🟨,
- 64', Londono S. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 65', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
- 67', Palacios D. 🟨,
- 78', Arcila D. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
- 78', Torres C. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
- 78', Arroyo A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Mosquera F. (Own goal),
- 83', Perez K. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 85', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 86', Ramirez N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Diaz L. ↓, Catano J. ↑,
- 90+3', Londono E. ↓, Quejada J. ↑,
Highlights
http://tinyurl.com/29b4cp45
Chances of winning
Envigado
18.5% | Draw
29% | Deportes Tolima
52.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Envigado's form might have worsened.Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Tolima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Envigado - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.09 ↑
(3.9) |
3.23 ↑
(3.15) |
1.78 ↓
(2.03) |
6.6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Envigado - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Envigado won 1.
- Recent matches Envigado is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Deportes Tolima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Deportes Tolima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Deportes Tolima is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Envigado won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 17:33 (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Envigado won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Deportes Tolima?
Envigado has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Envigado?
Deportes Tolima has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
06.11.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Envigado
3:0
16.04.2024
Envigado
-
Deportes Tolima
0:2
21.09.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Envigado
2:0
13.04.2023
Envigado
-
Deportes Tolima
2:1
29.10.2022
Envigado
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
Latest results of Envigado
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
