Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (351/436) | 63% (142/227) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (351/436) | 63% (142/227) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (28/54) | 22% (13/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (94/138) | 43% (33/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Espana Alvarez R. C. (Pen),
- 26', Hinestroza J. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
- 33', Hurtado Torres Y. D. 🟨,
- 39', Neto Volpi 🟨,
- 39', Angulo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Angulo A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
- 62', Hinestroza J. ↓, Aristizabal J. ↑,
- 62', Soto T. ↓, Hurtado W. ↑,
- 63', Gonzalez J. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
- 63', Lencina G. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
- 66', Fuentes J. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 69', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
- 72', Londono S. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
- 72', Espana Alvarez R. C. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
- 83', Berrio F. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Hurtado W. ⚽, Valencia Mosquera D. A. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ymvwhvwr
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
64.8% | Draw
24% | Envigado
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Deportes Tolima - Envigado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.33) |
3.94 ↓
(4.25) |
8.69 ↓
(9.5) |
5.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Envigado?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Deportes Tolima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:4. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Envigado?
Deportes Tolima has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Deportes Tolima?
Envigado has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Envigado were as follows:
20.04.2025
Envigado
-
Deportes Tolima
3:1
06.11.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Envigado
3:0
16.04.2024
Envigado
-
Deportes Tolima
0:2
21.09.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Envigado
2:0
13.04.2023
Envigado
-
Deportes Tolima
2:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Envigado
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
