Result
1:1
07/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/329) | 78% (305/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/329) | 78% (305/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 58% (40/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (61/90) | 64% (91/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 14', Diaz Samuel M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
- 46', Berrio F. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Garces J. (A),
- 55', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
- 60', Giordana S. ↓, Carvajal J. ↑,
- 64', Vega S. 🟨,
- 67', Vega S. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
- 68', Sanchez N. 🟨,
- 70', Mosquera E. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
- 73', Dawson D. 🟨,
- 76', Dawson D. ↓, Marulanda M. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Carvajal J. ⚽,
- 80', Palacio J. ↓, Hinestroza J. ↑,
- 80', Garces J. ↓, Hurtado W. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/y73emep8
Chances of winning
Envigado
20% | Draw
27.6% | Millonarios
52.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+0.8%)The ML Model estimate for Millonarios aligns with the current prediction.
Envigado - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.62 ↑
(4.29) |
3.38 ↑
(3.3) |
1.8 ↓
(1.82) |
6.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Envigado - Millonarios?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Millonarios (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Millonarios will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Envigado has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Millonarios is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Millonarios?
Envigado has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Envigado?
Millonarios has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Millonarios were as follows:
16.09.2025
Millonarios
-
Envigado
0:0
03.09.2025
Envigado
-
Millonarios
1:0
16.05.2025
Millonarios
-
Envigado
1:0
28.09.2024
Millonarios
-
Envigado
3:0
17.03.2024
Envigado
-
Millonarios
1:1
Latest results of Envigado
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
