Result
3:4 OT
21/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 03:05, 0 - 1, Starovoitov A. (G), Deshkunov A. (A),
- 06:00, 0 - 2, Aplin T. (G), Abdullin L. (A),
- 19:44, 1 - 2, Maksudov A. (G), Petrushenko D. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:50, 1 - 3, Abdullin L. (G), Matveyev I. (A), Deshkunov A. (A2)
- 10:52, 2 - 3, Kiselyov D. (G), Salikhov M. (A), Frukalov A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 12:11, 3 - 3, Mindubayev R. (G), Kiselyov D. (A), Aminov E. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 00:47, 3 - 4, Deshkunov A. (G),
Chances of winning
Gvardiya Krasnodar
17.8% | Draw
18.7% | Ermak Angarsk
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gvardiya Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Gvardiya Krasnodar aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Gvardiya Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.12 ↑
(5.09) |
4.88 ↑
(4.85) |
1.44
(1.44) |
9.7%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- Ermak is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Gvardiya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ermak is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Gvardiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ermak has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ermak is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Gvardiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Gvardiya Krasnodar won against Ermak Angarsk?
Gvardiya Krasnodar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ermak Angarsk won against Gvardiya Krasnodar?
Ermak Angarsk has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gvardiya Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk were as follows:
20.02.2026
Gvardiya Krasnodar
-
Ermak Angarsk
1:2
09.10.2025
Ermak Angarsk
-
Gvardiya Krasnodar
5:1
08.10.2025
Ermak Angarsk
-
Gvardiya Krasnodar
0:2
Latest results of Gvardiya Krasnodar
Latest results of Ermak Angarsk
NMHL Table
2025/26Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | MHK Ryazan ✔ | 39 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 157:61 | 74 |
| 2 | Dizelist ✔ | 40 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 136:84 | 60 |
| 3 | Yermak Angarsk ✔ | 37 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 165:76 | 60 |
| 4 | Bobrov | 40 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 158:99 | 52 |
| 5 | Sokol Novocheboksarsk | 40 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 132:107 | 49 |
| 6 | Kristall BDK | 40 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 114:104 | 47 |
| 7 | Progress Glazov | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 107:129 | 39 |
| 8 | HC Krasnodar | 39 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 116:128 | 39 |
| 9 | HK Samara | 42 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 117:133 | 39 |
| 10 | Proton | 40 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 104:127 | 34 |
| 11 | Tambov | 40 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 85:128 | 29 |
| 12 | Lipetsk | 40 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 74:148 | 23 |
| 13 | Belgorod | 40 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 73:214 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Buran Moscow ✔ | 42 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 202:70 | 75 |
| 2 | Granit ✔ | 38 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 139:89 | 59 |
| 3 | Kaluga ✔ | 39 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 163:82 | 56 |
| 4 | Dinamo 576 ✔ | 37 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 131:90 | 54 |
| 5 | Metallurg Cherepovets ✔ | 38 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 131:109 | 53 |
| 6 | Polot | 40 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 147:143 | 49 |
| 7 | Fakel | 40 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 110:131 | 44 |
| 8 | Voevoda Podolsk | 39 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 105:117 | 43 |
| 9 | Arktika | 43 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 97:148 | 34 |
| 10 | Bryansk | 40 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 119:144 | 33 |
| 11 | Tayfun | 41 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 95:160 | 26 |
| 12 | Tverichi | 39 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 77:159 | 18 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 36 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 83:157 | 16 |
Promotion ~ NMHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
MHK Ryazan is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dizelist is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Yermak Angarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Buran Moscow is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dinamo 576 is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Metallurg Cherepovets is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
