Result
3:4 OT
21/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 03:05, 0 - 1, Starovoitov A. (G), Deshkunov A. (A),
- 06:00, 0 - 2, Aplin T. (G), Abdullin L. (A),
- 19:44, 1 - 2, Maksudov A. (G), Petrushenko D. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:50, 1 - 3, Abdullin L. (G), Matveyev I. (A), Deshkunov A. (A2)
- 10:52, 2 - 3, Kiselyov D. (G), Salikhov M. (A), Frukalov A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 12:11, 3 - 3, Mindubayev R. (G), Kiselyov D. (A), Aminov E. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 00:47, 3 - 4, Deshkunov A. (G),
Chances of winning
Gvardiya Krasnodar
17.8% | Draw
18.7% | Ermak Angarsk
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gvardiya Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Gvardiya Krasnodar aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Gvardiya Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.12 ↑
(5.09) |
4.88 ↑
(4.85) |
1.44
(1.44) |
9.7%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- Ermak is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Gvardiya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ermak is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Gvardiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ermak has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ermak is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Gvardiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Gvardiya Krasnodar won against Ermak Angarsk?
Gvardiya Krasnodar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ermak Angarsk won against Gvardiya Krasnodar?
Ermak Angarsk has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gvardiya Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk were as follows:
20.02.2026
Gvardiya Krasnodar
-
Ermak Angarsk
1:2
09.10.2025
Ermak Angarsk
-
Gvardiya Krasnodar
5:1
08.10.2025
Ermak Angarsk
-
Gvardiya Krasnodar
0:2
Latest results of Gvardiya Krasnodar
Latest results of Ermak Angarsk
NMHL Table
2025/26Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | MHK Ryazan ✔ | 48 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 192:69 | 92 |
| 2 | Yermak Angarsk ✔ | 48 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 223:96 | 80 |
| 3 | Dizelist ✔ | 48 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 160:108 | 67 |
| 4 | Bobrov ✔ | 48 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 187:114 | 66 |
| 5 | Sokol Novocheboksarsk ✔ | 47 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 153:120 | 60 |
| 6 | Kristall BDK ✔ | 48 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 127:131 | 51 |
| 7 | Progress Glazov ✔ | 47 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 134:160 | 48 |
| 8 | HC Krasnodar | 48 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 141:170 | 45 |
| 9 | HK Samara | 48 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 127:144 | 44 |
| 10 | Proton | 47 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 120:148 | 42 |
| 11 | Tambov | 47 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 103:150 | 36 |
| 12 | Lipetsk | 48 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 89:182 | 26 |
| 13 | Belgorod | 48 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 94:258 | 20 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Buran Moscow ✔ | 48 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 238:82 | 87 |
| 2 | Kaluga ✔ | 48 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 203:101 | 72 |
| 3 | Granit ✔ | 48 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 168:123 | 69 |
| 4 | Dinamo 576 ✔ | 48 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 171:120 | 67 |
| 5 | Metallurg Cherepovets ✔ | 47 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 171:141 | 64 |
| 6 | Polot ✔ | 48 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 176:173 | 59 |
| 7 | Voevoda Podolsk ✔ | 48 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 130:148 | 57 |
| 8 | Fakel ✔ | 48 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 140:156 | 56 |
| 9 | Bryansk | 47 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 145:167 | 42 |
| 10 | Arktika | 48 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 106:164 | 35 |
| 11 | Tayfun | 48 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 112:178 | 32 |
| 12 | Leningradets | 48 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 109:216 | 21 |
| 13 | Tverichi | 48 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 95:195 | 21 |
Promotion ~ NMHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
MHK Ryazan is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Yermak Angarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dizelist is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Bobrov is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sokol Novocheboksarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kristall BDK is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Progress Glazov is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Buran Moscow is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dinamo 576 is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Metallurg Cherepovets is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Polot is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Voevoda Podolsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Fakel is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
