Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 17
- Referee: Tonusluoglu D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (290/351) | 83% (332/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (290/351) | 83% (332/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (41/62) | 57% (36/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (61/95) | 72% (92/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 8% (2/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Amilton 🟨,
- 41', Kacar T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 0, Cavare D. (Own goal),
- 69', Bulut H. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
- 73', Kanga G. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
- 73', Kacar T. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
- 73', Lus B. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
- 80', Ezeh F. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 1, Catakovic H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Karaogul I. 🟨,
- 88', Diouf M. 🟨,
- 88', Cavare D. 🟨,
- 88', Roshi O. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
- 90+2', Kayode O. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
- 90+5', Akdag I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
- 90+5', Fernandes J. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
- 90+6', Ezeh F. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Keçiörengücü
42.3% | Draw
26.8% | Erokspor
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Keçiörengücü - Erokspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.26) |
3.46 ↓
(3.57) |
3 ↑
(2.83) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Erokspor?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Erokspor will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keçiörengücü: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Erokspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
- Keçiörengücü is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Erokspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Keçiörengücü could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Erokspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Erokspor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Erokspor were as follows:
05.03.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Erokspor
2:2
21.10.2024
Erokspor
-
Keçiörengücü
2:2
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Latest results of Erokspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
