Sakaryaspor vs Erokspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 35
  • Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.922.72
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
47
Big chances
18
Corner kicks
26
Passes
77% (259/335)86% (466/541)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.922.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.044.34
Total shots
718
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
04
Shots inside the box
616
Shots outside the box
12
Hit the woodwork
12
Headed goals
10
Big chances
18
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2039
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free kicks
97
Passes
77% (259/335)86% (466/541)
Long passes
49% (36/73)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
64% (73/114)68% (80/118)
Crosses
31% (4/13)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.96
Throw ins
2121
Fouls
79
Tackles
77% (10/13)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3942
Clearances
1923
Interceptions
175
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
52
xGOT faced
4.341.04
Goals prevented
2.340.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Bekaroglu B. , Pena S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Jack R. , Beyaz O. ,
  • 46', Gedik E. , Korkmaz E. ,
  • 46', Bostan M. , Zwolinski L. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Niyaz R. ,
  • 56', Yavuz S. 🟥,
  • 61', Owusu , Demir E. ,
  • 61', Sen K. , Tuzcu D. ,
  • 68', Okyar M. 🟨,
  • 78', Okyar M. , Karaman A. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Catakovic H. ,
  • 82', Niyaz R. , Kacar T. ,
  • 88', Catakovic H. , Lus B. ,
  • 89', Yildirim P. 🟨,
  • 90', Faye M. 🟨,
  • 90', Pena S. , Demir A. ,
  • 90+1', Demir A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sakaryaspor
14.7%
Draw
21.8%
Erokspor
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.7% 22.5% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 21.4% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erokspor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Sakaryaspor - Erokspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.36
    (4.69)
    4.27
    (4.1)
    1.44
    (1.6)
    8.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Erokspor?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Erokspor will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Erokspor is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Turken A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Erokspor: Kanga G. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Erokspor: Ulas O. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Erokspor were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Erokspor - Sakaryaspor 4:1
    10.05.2025 Sakaryaspor - Erokspor 2:0
    11.01.2025 Erokspor - Sakaryaspor 1:1
    Latest results of Sakaryaspor
    Latest results of Erokspor
    09.04.2026 Erokspor - Amed SK 1:1
    05.04.2026 Sivasspor - Erokspor 1:3
    22.03.2026 Erokspor - Erzurumspor 0:2
    16.03.2026 Çorum - Erokspor 2:1
    12.03.2026 Erokspor - Bandırmaspor 1:1
    Turkish First League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor382312382:275581
    2Amedspor382111681:423974
    3Erokspor382111681:354674
    4Corum38218963:392471
    5Bodrumspor3818101071:393264
    6Pendikspor381615758:332563
    7Keciorengucu3816121073:433060
    8Bandirmaspor3816121047:341360
    9Manisa FK381671557:56155
    10Sivasspor3814111347:43453
    11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:55252
    12Sariyer381571644:44052
    13Igdir FK3813111452:54-250
    14Vanspor FK3813101552:47549
    15Boluspor381461861:57448
    16Umraniyespor381371847:51-446
    17Serik Spor381162144:75-3139
    18Sakaryaspor388102045:72-2734
    19Hatayspor38282833:102-6914
    20Adana Demirspor38133422:169-147-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation