Erokspor vs Sarıyer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 18
  • Referee: Gultekin O. F. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.63
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
87% (419/483)90% (421/467)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.410.37
Total shots
68
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
126
Passes
87% (419/483)90% (421/467)
Long passes
47% (24/51)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
58% (39/67)63% (52/82)
Crosses
27% (3/11)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.53
Throw-ins
1712
Fouls
612
Tackles
83% (5/6)43% (3/7)
Duels won
3320
Clearances
1521
Interceptions
112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.370.41
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Cavare D. 🟥,
  • 5', 0 - 1, Anziani J. ,
  • 10', Kayode O. 🟨,
  • 12', Faye M. , Nzaba F. ,
  • 36', Regattin A. 🟨,
  • 45', Dembele P. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Dembele P. M. , Urie A. ,
  • 65', Karaman A. , Jack R. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Niyaz R. , Jack R. (A),
  • 83', Niyaz R. , Kacar T. ,
  • 83', Berber O. , Yilmaz O. ,
  • 83', Anziani J. , Aydogmus B. ,
  • 88', Engul B. , Koc A. ,
  • 90+3', Kurucuk F. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Amilton 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erokspor
55.2%
Draw
23.6%
Sarıyer
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 24.2% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erokspor's performance.
  • Sarıyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarıyer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erokspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarıyer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Erokspor - Sarıyer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.92)
    3.97
    (3.83)
    4.32
    (3.38)
    8.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Erokspor - Sarıyer?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Sarıyer will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Erokspor: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Erokspor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Erokspor could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Erokspor: Cetin E. (Suspended) Gedik E. (Suspended) Isik E. (Suspended) Kahveci M. (Suspended) Kanga G. (International duty) Tetik B. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Sarıyer: Keskin A. (Suspended) Koksaldi E. (Suspended) Yesilyurt H. E. (Yellow Cards)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Erokspor
    06.12.2025 Erokspor - Sakaryaspor 4:1
    28.11.2025 Amed SK - Erokspor 2:1
    23.11.2025 Erokspor - Sivasspor 2:1
    Latest results of Sarıyer
    13.12.2025 Sarıyer - İstanbulspor 1:2
    08.12.2025 Hatayspor - Sarıyer 0:3
    03.12.2025 İstanbulspor - Sarıyer 6:0
    30.11.2025 Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor 1:0
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-51

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to