Result
0:3
24/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 22
- Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 3.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 22% | 78% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (105/182) | 88% (576/651) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 3.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 3.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 1 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (105/182) | 88% (576/651) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (16/57) | 71% (30/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 81% (242/297) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.44 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Skvortsov L. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Martynov A. 🟨,
- 54', Ceylan B. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
- 56', Guibero R. 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 2, Beyaz O. ⚽, Alic E. (A),
- 62', Nefiz E. ↓, Ibrahimoglu M. ↑,
- 64', Jack R. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
- 64', Lus B. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
- 69', Okoro J. 🟨,
- 71', Okoro J. 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 3, Kanga G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Guibero R. ↓, Spasov G. ↑,
- 76', Kanga G. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
- 76', Beyaz O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
- 84', Nzaba F. ↓, Cavare D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Serik Belediyespor
7.3% | Draw
14.6% | Erokspor
78.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serik Belediyespor's form might have worsened.Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erokspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-14.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erokspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
13.04 ↑
(5.2) |
6.43 ↑
(4.54) |
1.18 ↓
(1.5) |
7.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Erokspor will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
- Serik Belediyespor is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Erokspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Erokspor is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Dilli S.
(Suspended)
Terzi E.
(Yellow Cards)
Tunali M.
(Suspended)
Yucedag E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Erokspor: Gedik E.
(Suspended)
Kahveci M.
(Suspended)
Okyar M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:14. (average 0:4.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.
How many head-to-head matches has Serik Belediyespor won against Erokspor?
Serik Belediyespor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Serik Belediyespor?
Erokspor has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor were as follows:
23.08.2025
Erokspor
-
Serik Belediyespor
5:0
04.05.2024
Serik Belediyespor
-
Erokspor
0:6
24.12.2023
Erokspor
-
Serik Belediyespor
3:0
Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
Latest results of Erokspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
