Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Gorda D. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Adakhadziev A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Agimanov T. ↓, Poe J. ↑,
- 46', Shvyrev V. ↓, Turlybek M. ↑,
- 58', Mbodj M. ↓, Toleuov B. ↑,
- 62', Toleuov B. 🟨,
- 69', Shimamura Y. ↓, Omatay M. ↑,
- 73', Muzhikov S. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Sedko P. ⚽,
- 75', Abzalov S. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Zivanovic M. ⚽, Zhakipbayev M. (A),
Chances of winning
Ertis Pavlodar
46.9% | Draw
28.2% | Zhetysu
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ertis Pavlodar's form might have worsened.Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ertis Pavlodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zhetysu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ertis Pavlodar - Zhetysu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.66) |
3.28 ↓
(3.77) |
3.73 ↓
(4.54) |
8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Zhetysu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ertis is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ertis Pavlodar won against Zhetysu?
Ertis Pavlodar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zhetysu won against Ertis Pavlodar?
Zhetysu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ertis Pavlodar - Zhetysu were as follows:
Latest results of Ertis Pavlodar
Latest results of Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Aktobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Atyrau | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
