Ertis Pavlodar vs Kyzylzhar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Kazakhstan Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Zatula A. (Kaz)

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
58
Corner kicks
46
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
717
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
05
Blocked shots
24
Corner kicks
46
Offsides
30
Free kicks
116
Fouls
817

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Pertsukh Y. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Slambekov D. , Beugre E. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Turlybek M. , Nechaev D. (A),
  • 38', Khadarkevich R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Valgushev G. , Gomis H. ,
  • 46', Khadarkevich R. , Stephen G. ,
  • 58', Ibrahim F. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Galabov P. ,
  • 60', Chirkov R. , Krajisnik D. ,
  • 60', Cheredinov A. , Eleukin M. ,
  • 66', Baybosynov N. , Agimanov T. ,
  • 66', Buranchiev A. , Zharynbetov S. ,
  • 67', Adil A. , Muldinov T. ,
  • 76', Galabov P. , Bahoken S. ,
  • 76', Krajisnik D. 🟨,
  • 78', Turlybek M. , Shvyrev V. ,
  • 78', Nechaev D. , Poe J. ,
  • 90+3', Petrov V. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ertis Pavlodar
38%
Draw
28.7%
Kyzylzhar
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 28.5% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 29.9% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • The chances for Kyzylzhar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.37)
    3.16
    (3.18)
    2.72
    (2.72)
    10.3%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ertis will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kyzylzhar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Ertis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kyzylzhar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar were as follows:
    20.03.2026 Kyzylzhar - Ertis Pavlodar 2:2
    Latest results of Ertis Pavlodar
    Latest results of Kyzylzhar
    25.04.2026 Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy 1:2
    19.04.2026 Atyrau - Kyzylzhar 0:1
    12.04.2026 Kyzylzhar - Zhenis 4:0
    09.04.2026 Khan Tengri - Kyzylzhar 0:1
    04.04.2026 Kaisar - Kyzylzhar 0:0
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Akademiya OntustikOrdabasy2 : 4
    2FC BatyrKaspij Aktau0 : 4
    3Jas QyranAtyrau0 : 4
    4KarshigaZhetysu Taldykorgan0 : 1
    5ArysAktobe0 : 4
    6TuranYelimay Semey1 : 4
    7Jelaev NanAltai0 : 2
    8TarazUlytau0 : 1
    9TalasKaisar Kyzylorda0 : 2
    10JaiyqKairat Almaty1 : 3
    11BKSFC Astana1 : 2
    12AnsatTobol0 : 8
    13Shakhter KaragandyOkzhetpes2 : 3
    14ChromtauZhenis1 : 4
    15SD FamilyErtis Pavlodar
    16Khan TengriKyzylzhar0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1OrdabasyKaspij Aktau3 : 0
    2AtyrauZhetysu Taldykorgan0 : 2
    3AktobeYelimay Semey2 : 1
    4AltaiUlytau4 : 3
    5Kaisar KyzylordaKairat Almaty2 : 1
    6FC AstanaTobol1 : 2
    7OkzhetpesZhenis2 : 3
    8Ertis PavlodarKyzylzhar1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1OrdabasyZhetysu Taldykorgan
    2AktobeAltai
    3Kaisar KyzylordaTobol
    4ZhenisKyzylzhar

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2