Result
1:2
29/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kazakhstan Cup - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Zatula A. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Pertsukh Y. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Slambekov D. ⚽, Beugre E. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Turlybek M. ⚽, Nechaev D. (A),
- 38', Khadarkevich R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Valgushev G. ↓, Gomis H. ↑,
- 46', Khadarkevich R. ↓, Stephen G. ↑,
- 58', Ibrahim F. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Galabov P. ⚽,
- 60', Chirkov R. ↓, Krajisnik D. ↑,
- 60', Cheredinov A. ↓, Eleukin M. ↑,
- 66', Baybosynov N. ↓, Agimanov T. ↑,
- 66', Buranchiev A. ↓, Zharynbetov S. ↑,
- 67', Adil A. ↓, Muldinov T. ↑,
- 76', Galabov P. ↓, Bahoken S. ↑,
- 76', Krajisnik D. 🟨,
- 78', Turlybek M. ↓, Shvyrev V. ↑,
- 78', Nechaev D. ↓, Poe J. ↑,
- 90+3', Petrov V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ertis Pavlodar 38% | Draw 28.7% | Kyzylzhar 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)The chances for Kyzylzhar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↑ (2.37) |
3.16 ↓ (3.18) |
2.72 (2.72) |
10.3% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ertis will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kyzylzhar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Ertis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kyzylzhar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ertis Pavlodar won against Kyzylzhar?
Ertis Pavlodar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyzylzhar won against Ertis Pavlodar?
Kyzylzhar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar were as follows:
20.03.2026
Kyzylzhar
-
Ertis Pavlodar
2:2
Latest results of Ertis Pavlodar
Latest results of Kyzylzhar
Draw
20261/16-finals| 1 | Akademiya Ontustik | Ordabasy | 2 : 4 |
| 2 | FC Batyr | Kaspij Aktau | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Jas Qyran | Atyrau | 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Karshiga | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Arys | Aktobe | 0 : 4 |
| 6 | Turan | Yelimay Semey | 1 : 4 |
| 7 | Jelaev Nan | Altai | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Taraz | Ulytau | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Talas | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Jaiyq | Kairat Almaty | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | BKS | FC Astana | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Ansat | Tobol | 0 : 8 |
| 13 | Shakhter Karagandy | Okzhetpes | 2 : 3 |
| 14 | Chromtau | Zhenis | 1 : 4 |
| 15 | SD Family | Ertis Pavlodar | |
| 16 | Khan Tengri | Kyzylzhar | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ordabasy | Kaspij Aktau | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Atyrau | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Aktobe | Yelimay Semey | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Altai | Ulytau | 4 : 3 |
| 5 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Kairat Almaty | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | FC Astana | Tobol | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Okzhetpes | Zhenis | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar | Kyzylzhar | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ordabasy | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | |
| 2 | Aktobe | Altai | |
| 3 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Tobol | |
| 4 | Zhenis | Kyzylzhar | |
Semi-finalsFinal