Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue
Result
2:1
01/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 22
  • Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV, Sportklub 7
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de
montenegroMontenegroSportklub 7
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, Sportklub 7
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 7
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
2916
Shots on Goal
2012
Shots off Goal
94
Corner Kicks
104
Goalkeeper Saves
1118
Free Kicks
1611
Offsides
11
Fouls
1012
Yellow Cards
34
Throw-ins
2525

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Daferner C. , Kother D. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Sijaric O. , Majetschak E. (A),
  • 24', Daferner C. 🟨,
  • 24', Barylla A. 🟨,
  • 31', Tashchy B. 🟨,
  • 32', Daferner C. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Casar A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Hoti A. , Boeder L. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Kother D. , Lemmer J. (A),
  • 67', Fallmann P. , Stefaniak M. ,
  • 74', Daferner C. , Kutschke S. ,
  • 74', Kother D. , Baur M. ,
  • 74', Kammerknecht C. , Sterner J. ,
  • 78', Tashchy B. , Bornschein R. ,
  • 78', Pepic M. , Loune A. ,
  • 78', Sijaric O. , Schmid M. ,
  • 82', Barylla A. , Burghardt M. ,
  • 83', Fabisch J. 🟨,
  • 87', Menzel T. , Bunning L. ,
  • 90', Heise P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bar M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
55.6%
Draw
22.9%
Erzgebirge Aue
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 21.5% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 21.3% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.53)
    4.08
    (4.32)
    4.37
    (5.2)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Aue will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 3.
    • Dynamo Dresden is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Aue is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Dynamo Dresden is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Oehmichen J. (Injury) Sapina V. (Hamstring Injury) Sterner J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Aue: Hoffmann T. (Illness) Kallenbach W. (Illness) Loune A. (Illness) Nkansah S. (Illness) Ozkan C. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Dresden won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    23.08.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden 2:0
    18.02.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden 2:1
    24.09.2023 Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue 2:1
    04.03.2023 Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0
    28.08.2022 Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden 0:1
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1RW Essen00000:000
    2Verl00000:000
    3Regensburg00000:000
    4Stuttgart II00000:000
    5Ingolstadt00000:000
    6TSV Havelse00000:000
    7Cottbus00000:000
    8Hansa Rostock00000:000
    9Duisburg00000:000
    10Alemannia Aachen00000:000
    11Wehen00000:000
    12Munich 186000000:000
    13VfL Osnabruck00000:000
    14Aue00000:000
    15Mannheim00000:000
    16Ulm00000:000
    17Saarbrucken00000:000
    18Schweinfurt00000:000
    19Hoffenheim II00000:000
    20Viktoria Koln00000:000

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
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