Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden).

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 22
Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
58%	42%
Goal Attempts
29	16
Shots on Goal
20	12
Shots off Goal
9	4
Corner Kicks
10	4
Goalkeeper Saves
11	18
Free Kicks
16	11
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
10	12
Yellow Cards
3	4
Throw-ins
25	25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Daferner C. ⚽, Kother D. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Sijaric O. ⚽, Majetschak E. (A),
24', Daferner C. 🟨,
24', Barylla A. 🟨,
31', Tashchy B. 🟨,
32', Daferner C. (Pen),
45+1', Casar A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Hoti A. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Kother D. ⚽, Lemmer J. (A),
67', Fallmann P. ↓, Stefaniak M. ↑,
74', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
74', Kother D. ↓, Baur M. ↑,
74', Kammerknecht C. ↓, Sterner J. ↑,
78', Tashchy B. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
78', Pepic M. ↓, Loune A. ↑,
78', Sijaric O. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
82', Barylla A. ↓, Burghardt M. ↑,
83', Fabisch J. 🟨,
87', Menzel T. ↓, Bunning L. ↑,
90', Heise P. 🟨,
90+3', Bar M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Dynamo Dresden
55.6%

Draw
22.9%

Erzgebirge Aue
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

21.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.53)	4.08 ↓ (4.32)	4.37 ↓ (5.2)	6.9% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Aue will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 21.7% – 78.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 3.
Dynamo Dresden is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Aue is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Aue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Dynamo Dresden is a favorite.
There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Oehmichen J. (Injury) Sapina V. (Hamstring Injury) Sterner J. (Injury)
There will not play in Aue: Hoffmann T. (Illness) Kallenbach W. (Illness) Loune A. (Illness) Nkansah S. (Illness) Ozkan C. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Dresden won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Erzgebirge Aue?

Dynamo Dresden has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Dynamo Dresden?

Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:

23.08.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden 2:0

18.02.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden 2:1

24.09.2023 Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue 2:1

04.03.2023 Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0

28.08.2022 Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden 0:1

Latest results of Dynamo Dresden

25.01.2025 Energie Cottbus - Dynamo Dresden 1:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Viktoria Köln 2:3 ✺

21.12.2024 Unterhaching - Dynamo Dresden 0:3 ✺

13.12.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Waldhof Mannheim 2:1 ✺

08.12.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue

25.01.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück 0:0 ✺

17.01.2025 Hannover II - Erzgebirge Aue 2:1 ✺

21.12.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München 3:1 ✺

14.12.2024 Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue 4:6 ✺

07.12.2024 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0 ✺

German 3 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	RW Essen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Verl	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Regensburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Stuttgart II	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Ingolstadt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	TSV Havelse	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Cottbus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hansa Rostock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Duisburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Alemannia Aachen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Wehen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Munich 1860	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	VfL Osnabruck	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Aue	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Mannheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Ulm	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Saarbrucken	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Schweinfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Hoffenheim II	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Viktoria Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 7
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de
Montenegro	Sportklub 7
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 7
Serbia	SportKlub 7
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball