Result
03/05/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Ingolstadt
49.7% | Draw
24.3% | Erzgebirge Aue
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1%)
Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.83) |
3.82 ↓
(3.99) |
3.55 ↓
(3.56) |
8.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Aue is Relegated to
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Aue may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ingolstadt will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ingolstadt won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Ingolstadt has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Ingolstadt?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
07.12.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ingolstadt
2:2
04.05.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ingolstadt
1:0
07.12.2024
Ingolstadt
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:0
19.12.2023
Ingolstadt
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:1
06.08.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ingolstadt
1:0
Latest results of Ingolstadt
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 35 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 73 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 68:48 | 20 | 66 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 73:58 | 15 | 64 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 63:47 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 64:42 | 22 | 60 |
| 6 | Verl | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 75:47 | 28 | 58 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 66:55 | 11 | 57 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 52:47 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Wehen | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 49:47 | 2 | 50 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 57:65 | -8 | 49 |
| 11 | Viktoria Koln | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 48:49 | -1 | 47 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 52:55 | -3 | 46 |
| 13 | Ingolstadt | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 55:49 | 6 | 43 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45:59 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 44:50 | -6 | 41 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 61:65 | -4 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 53:77 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 46:72 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 35 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 42:65 | -23 | 27 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 35 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 33:79 | -46 | 20 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to
