Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 20
- Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Germany | DFB Play, Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, NDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Majetschak E. ↓, Fabisch J. ↑,
- 20', Fabisch J. 🟨,
- 37', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Dirkner J. ⚽, Bergh V. (A),
- 45', Dirkner J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Bar M. ⚽, Clausen M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Mejdr J. ↓, Neidhart N. ↑,
- 65', Voglsammer A. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
- 68', Bar M. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
- 68', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
- 81', Dietze B. ↓, Harenbrock C. ↑,
- 85', Uhlmann E. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 86', Collins J. ↓, Seiffert M. ↑,
- 88', Bergh V. 🟨,
- 88', Dirkner J. ↓, Krauss M. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Naderi R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hansa Rostock
60.7% | Draw
21.5% | Erzgebirge Aue
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hansa Rostock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Hansa Rostock - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.55) |
4.36 ↓
(4.38) |
5.15 ↑
(4.95) |
8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hansa Rostock - Erzgebirge Aue?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hansa Rostock (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Hansa Rostock will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hansa Rostock won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Hansa Rostock is the team to beat.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hansa Rostock won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hansa Rostock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hansa Rostock won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Hansa Rostock has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Hansa Rostock?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hansa Rostock - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
03.08.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Hansa Rostock
0:0
12.03.2025
Hansa Rostock
-
Erzgebirge Aue
4:1
05.10.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Hansa Rostock
1:2
Latest results of Hansa Rostock
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 2 | RW Essen | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 65:50 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Cottbus | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 61:44 | 17 | 60 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 55:42 | 13 | 57 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 57:36 | 21 | 56 |
| 6 | Verl | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 71:44 | 27 | 54 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Alemannia Aachen | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 57:52 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Wehen | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 48 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 51:56 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Viktoria Koln | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 46:44 | 2 | 44 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 44:48 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 | Ingolstadt | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 51:44 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 59:58 | 1 | 39 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 37 |
| 17 | Ulm | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 41:63 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | TSV Havelse | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 47:73 | -26 | 26 |
| 19 | Aue | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 32 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 30:76 | -46 | 17 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
